The New York Mets squeaked out a 4-3 win on Monday night in the series opener against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore will start right-handed pitcher Dean Kremer for their series against Pittsburgh. Kremer is 5-9 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.28 WHIP across 17 starts this year.
New York is responding with lefty Jose Quintana, who boasts an 8-8 record with a 4.26 ERA and 1.29 WHIP through 24 starts this season.
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 08/20/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet Orioles ML
Baltimore should be able to take advantage of Quintana’s 4.73 ERA since the All-Star break by hitting him hard enough, thus tilting the pitching matchup in their favor. Baltimore ranks second in wRC+ and wOBA while leading in SLG and ISO against lefties; their slash line against them reads.260 BA/.324 OBP/.450 SLG/.774 OPS, while they’ve seen higher run production when playing away (5.3 runs/game vs 4.8 runs/game).
Kremer is coming off of an excellent performance against the Nationals and should do well against a Mets team with little previous exposure against him at Citi Field. His road ERA is lower this season – holding opponents to just a.193 BA against. It is supported by an Oriole bullpen with one of the five lowest WHIP ratings in all of sports.
On Tuesday, I’m confident the Orioles will win and will gladly seize this unique chance to bet them at plus odds on the money line!
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Mets ML
Orioles starting pitching advantage
Mets at home
Orioles hit lefties well
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Orioles vs Mets Moneyline
The moneyline value favors the Orioles, which is a great spot to bet them. The Mets have struggled against lefties this season. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Orioles ML
Orioles pitching advantage
Pitching to be the difference
Mets struggling at the plate vs Lefties
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Orioles vs Mets Over/Under Analysis
The over/under in this game is 8. This is an overbet; the Orioles will give up some runs, but they will have no issues scoring.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 8
Odds are high scoring game
Orioles Pitching will be the difference
Orioles should win
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Orioles vs Mets Head-to-Head
This will be the second game of a three-game series, the only series played between these teams this season. The Mets won game one 4-3.
Conclusion
The Mets have had issues with lefties, which will be the difference in this game. Orioles 6 Mats 4.
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