Do NFL betting tips actually work?
It really does depend on the tipster service that you use, but professional and well-calculated tipster services do have the potential to work. However, there are a few things that you need to think about first:
First and foremost, it is important to subscribe to one of the
best betting tipsters, as recommended by our experts here at TheGruelingTruth.com. There are a lot of trash tipsters out there, which is why we have picked out five of the best that we can recommend to you today.
Set realistic expectations
No tipster is going to be able to predict every outcome of every NFL game correctly week in, week out, so you need to set realistic expectations. For a tipster with a decent sample size, a strike rate of 30-40% is considered decent, whereas anything in and around the 50% area is very high.
As we have seen above, even the best NFL tipster services will struggle to get close to half of their predictions right over a season. Therefore you need to be prepared to play the long game. Big smash-and-grab wins are extremely rare and almost impossible to predict. You will find that the top tipsters aim to ensure that your bankroll is in profit at the end of each year.
The tipsters recommended below hit the right balance between these three elements. So, if you are willing to put in the work, you can enhance your overall NFL betting experience.
Reasons to use the
best NFL tipster services
If there’s one thing that you should take away from the points listed above, it’s that using a tipster service is not a way to guarantee winning wagers every single week. Instead, it should be viewed as a service that you can use to help with your bets to make your experience more rewarding overall.
Another important thing to remember is that effort and knowledge is also usually required on your part as well to make most tips work. You still need to use your basic knowledge of the sport, do some math and manage your own bankroll to keep things in check. However, you should still never work with an initial bankroll that is more than you can realistically afford to lose
Contrary to what some services would have you believe, these are the main five reasons to use a football tipster:
- Enhance your overall NFL betting experience
- Build your bankroll long-term
- Keep the Expected Value (EV) of your bets positive over time
- Improve the win rate of your NFL bets
- Improve your knowledge of football betting on the whole
Some of the best professional tipster services
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Before we take a look at the
best online football betting
tipsters, there are a few things that are worth learning first. Across all of the services mentioned in this article, you will find that there are certain terms that continually pop up.
Here is a quick glossary and explanation of the most need-to-know terms for any NFL bettor:
+EV (Positive Expected Value)
You will find that most legit and decent NFL tipsters provide a service that is designed to help you win and make a profit over time. Usually, they work with a figure called Positive Expected Value (+EV), which is a bet that statistically will make a profit over a period of time.
This is a simple term that effectively refers to your overall budget. You should set an initial bankroll and deposit it into your sportsbook account. Then, you will set aside small increments of this bankroll for each bet. Ultimately, the goal is to try and increase your bankroll steadily over time so that you have a profit to withdraw eventually.
This is usually displayed as a percentage and is a figure that shows how many winning wagers the tipster has correctly picked over a certain period of time. Usually, you can see the strike rate over the year, NFL season or game week.
You probably understand exactly what profit means as a basic term, but it’s important to highlight the difference in relation to betting. Tipsters will usually show their profit over the year, which is calculated by subtracting the total money wagered from the total money that has been won.
These terms are used interchangeably for the profit that the sportsbook adds for each bet. The odds displayed by the sportsbook have always been altered slightly from the real odds to protect their profits, and the best football tipsters will calculate this figure to help find the most valuable bets possible.
In the table below, you can find the key information about the five top-rated NFL betting tipsters. Our experts have tested out all of the free and paid services offered by these tipsters to provide you with accurate information and fair reviews.
| Tipster: |
Where to find them: |
Best for: |
Free picks: |
Paid subscription price: |
| PromoGuy US |
Website:
PromoGuy.us
Twitter:
@PromoGuyUS
YouTube:
@promoguyus
Discord:
Paid subscribers only |
+EV strategy using sportsbook promotions to enhance NFL bet value |
✅ |
$19.00 per month |
| OddsJam |
Website:
OddsJam.com
Official app
Twitter:
@OddsJam |
NFL tips, betting data and news |
✅ (Free trial) |
$39.00 – $999.00 per month |
| ThePromoGuy123 |
Website:
ThePromoGuy.com
Podcast
Twitter:
@ThePromoguy123 |
Straight and promo +EV plays |
✅ |
$9.99 – $49.99 per month |
| EVBetsIN |
Twitter:
@EVBetsIN
Google
(Document bet tracker) |
+EV NFL bets for IN bettors |
✅ |
$20.00 per month |
| Thee Degen Boosts |
Twitter:
@TheeDegenBoosts
YouTube:
@TheeDegenBoosts |
Using odds boosts for NFL tips |
✅ |
N/A |
Pros & Cons
- Daily free picks
- Reasonable monthly fee for VIP
- Website and social media tips
- +EV tips for the NFL and other sports
- Casino and fantasy tips as well
- Limited international markets
PromoGuy makes clever use of sportsbook promotions and odds boosters to implement a positive EV strategy that is designed to boost your bankroll over a period of time. While their main focus is on NFL tips during the season, PromoGuy also provides free daily picks for other sports, including the NBA, MLB and the NHL.
Moving away from sports betting, paid subscribers in PA and NJ can also follow the promotion-based online casino tips and long-term strategies. When it comes to following the tips, you have two choices:
- Follow the daily free picks on Twitter: @PromoGuyUS
- Subscribe to the VIP +EV Group on Discord for $19.00 per month
We have tested out both services and can confirm that both the free picks and the paid VIP subscription are among the best for NFL betting tips in the US today. PromoGuy US has a proven track record and you can check out the full betting history for this year and past years on their site as proof.
Promoguy.us Highlights
- Covers betting tips in major US leagues
- Great tipster subscription pricing
- Daily tips available
2. OddsJam – More than just a tipster
Pros & Cons
- Daily picks for all NFL games
- Three subscription services
- Massive selection of tools
- NFL news daily
- Used by other tipsters
OddsJam is a massive website with a huge selection of tips, tools, betting calculators and more. In fact, there are other tipsters who will even advise their followers to use certain tools and source information from OddsJam.
Rather than focusing on one strategy, you can pick from a wide selection when you subscribe to OddsJam. It might be a little bit on the pricey side for some though, and you have to start a free trial to see any of their NFL picks – there are no outright freebies.
Here is a quick look at the three main subscription options:
- Promo Optimizer (Seven-day free trial available):
$39.99 per month
- Positive EV (Seven-day free trial available):
$199.00 per month
- Platinum:
$999.00 per month
OddsJam Highlights
- Available on X (formerly Twitter)
- Several subscription levels
- Top sporting markets covered
Pros & Cons
- Straight and promo +EV picks
- Weekly podcast
- Free picks
- Three paid subscription options
- Regular promotions
First of all,
PromoGuy123 is legit, however, it should not be confused with PromoGuy US. That being said, they both offer slightly similar services, as their NFL tips are +EV focussed. However, the main difference is that PromoGuy123 offers both straight +EV NFL tips and promo +EV picks, while PromoGuy US is solely focused on promo and odds boost-based tips.
As well as providing free and paid picks for the NFL, ThePromoGuy123 also releases a weekly podcast with betting and tipster-based content. As is the case with OddsJam, there are three paid subscription packages that you can choose between here:
- PrizePicks:
$9.99 per month
- Sportsbook +EV:
$20.00 per month
- All-inclusive:
$49.00 per month
PromoGuy123 Highlights
- High follower count
- Daily picks provided
- Various packages
4. EVBetsIN – Ideal for NFL bettors in Indiana
Pros & Cons
- +EV NFL tips for IN bettors
- Proven track record
- Simple and streamlined channel
- Free picks on Twitter
- Discord subscription reasonably priced
The tipsters mentioned so far in this article are all large-scale operators with multiple subscriptions, tips and picks available. EVBetsIN, on the other hand, is a much simpler and more streamlined operation.
It is run by one man on a Twitter channel and focuses solely on +EV NFL and other sports tips specifically for the Indiana market. In a similar fashion to most of the best NFL tipster services, you can follow the free picks on Twitter, or subscribe to the Discord for $20.00 per month, which is a fair price point. If you wish to know more, you can check out our main
EVBetsIN review
here at TheGruelingTruth.com.
EVbetsIN Highlights
- All major sporting leagues
5. Thee Degen Boosts – The top NFL tipster in Tennessee
Pros & Cons
- Tips for TN bettors
- Completely free service
- YouTube channel with video guides
- Promotions for TN sportsbooks
- Ideal for beginner bettors
- TN bets and sportsbooks only
If you are looking for NFL tips that you can back at sportsbooks in Tennessee, then this one could be just what you are looking for. In a similar style to EVBetsIN, this is a state-specific tipster channel. However, it is run by a few different tipsters, rather than just one. Moreover, you also have a free YouTube channel that you can follow as well as Twitter.
In actual fact, everything that this tipster offers is completely free – there is no paid service at all. And when
new betting sites
are launched in TN, Thee Degen Boosts will always help you to find and use an exclusive welcome promotion for an NFL bet.
Thee Degen Boosts Highlights
- Free tips daily
- No subscriptions
- Decent range of bets and markets
How the
best NFL tipster services
make their picks
Now that we’ve covered the top tipsters for NFL betting in the US today, let’s take a look at how they actually devise their tips. Most tipster services combine math with their knowledge of the NFL and the online gambling industry in the US to increase their strike rate and help you build your bankroll.
Here are the five most common things that every tipster takes into account when creating their football betting picks:
First and foremost, tipsters need to know the sport inside out. It almost goes without saying that they need to meticulously study the teams, players, coaches and their form leading up to every game.
As well as what’s happening on the field, the best football tipsters also follow the news to assess what is happening off the field and how it might affect the outcome of each game. Things such as players’ personal lives, weather conditions and dressing room bust-ups can all have a huge impact on predictions.
Arguably the most important thing is to find good value for each bet. This can be done by looking at different markets, comparing the odds between all sportsbooks and using odds boosts or other promotions to get the best possible price.
One factor that can have a huge impact on the odds of a particular betting market is the money that is coming in. If a sportsbook sees a lot of money coming in for one outcome, they will usually adjust the odds to make the opposite outcome more appealing in order to balance things up and protect their profits. Top tipsters have a great understanding of this and use it to their advantage.
As you will have seen from our reviews of the best NFL tipster services, promotions play a huge part in finding value for every pick. It’s not simply about finding promotions, but being able to use them properly to maximize the potential value for each bet.
Best NFL tipster services
– The conclusion
In summary, the most important thing is to follow a legit and reputable tipster, such as PromoGuy US. Just remember that there is no smash-and-grab tipster strategy for large instant wins with a small outlay.
You have to be prepared to be patient in an effort to potentially build your bankroll over time with a decent strike rate and a good +EV strategy. Of course, you will also need an active account with at least one sportsbook as well. You can check out the best available US sportsbooks in your state by consulting the expert reviews here at TheGruelingTruth.
The top-rated tipsters in 2025
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5.
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The best football tipster in the US today is PromoGuy US. They provide free +EV picks every day for the NFL and all other major sports. What makes them unique is that they use promotions and odds boosters to increase the value of each pick. As well as the daily free service, you can also subscribe to the VIP Discord for $19.00 per month.
🎯 What NFL tipster is the most accurate?
The tipster with the best strike rate over a sustained period of time is PromoGuy US. On their website, you can see graphs and a full log of their bets since their service first launched in 2022. OddsJam and EVBetsIN also deserve a mention as they both have a proven history of profitable picks every year that they have been in operation.
That really depends – at the end of the day, it can be worth it as long as you subscribe to a reputable tipster with a proven track record. It also depends on how serious you are as well. For casual bettors, the daily free picks at PromoGuy US will suffice, however, the paid VIP subscription is ideal for those of you who are a bit more invested.
