This page is intentionally numbers-first. QB conversion: Matthew Stafford 388/597 (65%) vs Sam Darnold 323/477 (68%). Efficiency: 7.88 vs 8.49 YPA.
Skill props stay tied to workload and conversion: carries (259 vs 184), targets (166 vs 163), and yards per target (10.33 vs 11.00).
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Rams form check:
L5 N/A (60% wins) – neutral recent profile.
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Seahawks form check:
L5 N/A (100% wins) – hot streak profile.
Market script:
Seahawks are listed as the favorite (Seahawks -2.5). If the favorite plays from in front, carry volume can climb; if the underdog trails, pass attempts often rise.
If you prefer a complete matchup breakdown, the
Rams vs Seahawks matchup analysis
is live as well.
Rams vs Seahawks – Player Props Trends and Usage Signals
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ATS / totals texture:
AWAY ATS —, O/U — | HOME ATS —, O/U —. This doesn’t set player lines directly, but it helps frame recent game environments.
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Quick prop rule:
stability = volume (attempts/carries/targets); ceiling = efficiency (YPA/YPC/Y/Tgt). In this matchup: attempts 597 vs 477, carries 259 vs 184, targets 166 vs 163.
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QB baseline:
Matthew Stafford 388/597, 4707 pass yds, 46 pass TD (7.88 YPA) vs Sam Darnold 323/477, 4048 pass yds, 25 pass TD (8.49 YPA). Attempts shape the passing-yard floor; YPA is the ceiling lever.
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Completion efficiency:
Matthew Stafford 65% with 12.13 yards/comp vs Sam Darnold 68% with 12.53 yards/comp. Higher conversion tends to stabilize yard ranges when volume holds.
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RB workload + efficiency:
Kyren Williams 259 carries, 1252 rush yds, 10 rush TD (4.83 YPC) vs Zach Charbonnet 184 carries, 730 rush yds, 12 rush TD (3.97 YPC). Carries are usually the cleanest rushing-yard floor input.
Rams @ Seahawks – Prop Baselines and How to Read Them
| Metric |
AWAY |
HOME |
How to read it |
Betting approach |
| Rush yards baseline (Car × YPC) |
1,252.0 |
730.0 |
Mechanical projection of rushing yards from carries + efficiency. |
Baseline anchor only. If the line is near baseline, look for a better edge (role certainty, price, alt lines). |
| RB TD pace (per 20 carries) |
0.77 |
1.30 |
Scoring frequency benchmark. ~1.00 ≈ ~1 TD per 20 carries. |
Best used as context for anytime / TD markets. Pair with carry volume; don’t treat it as a guarantee. |
| WR targets |
166 |
163 |
Primary floor input for receiving yards. More targets = steadier production. |
Targets are usually the most predictive input in this feed. If targets are low, you’re often betting on efficiency. |
| WR Y/Tgt |
10.33 |
11.00 |
Efficiency per target. Higher = more yards per opportunity (ceiling indicator). |
Low Y/Tgt + high targets can still clear lines via volume. High Y/Tgt often implies volatility and big-play reliance. |
| Rec yards baseline (Tgt × Y/Tgt) |
1,715.0 |
1,793.0 |
Mechanical projection from targets + efficiency. Lower catch rates increase volatility. |
Use as anchor, then adjust with catch rate. When catch rate is low, discount the baseline a bit. |
| Catch rate (Rec/Tgt) |
77.7% |
73.0% |
Reliability metric. Higher = more stable outcomes; lower = choppier receiving props. |
High catch rate + strong target volume supports cleaner Overs. Low catch rate usually increases risk. |
3 Player Prop Projection Angles for Rams @ Seahawks
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Passing TD context (rate + volume):
Matthew Stafford TD rate 7.71% on 597 attempts @ Sam Darnold 5.24% on 477. Higher attempts typically mean more scoring chances via dropbacks.
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Receiving yards (targets + efficiency):
Puka Nacua 166 targets at 10.33 Y/Tgt (≈ 1,715.0) @ Jaxon Smith-Njigba 163 at 11.00 (≈ 1,793.0). Catch rate is the stability check: 77.7% @ 73.0%.
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Receiving volatility:
Yards per catch 13.29 (Puka Nacua) @ 15.07 (Jaxon Smith-Njigba). Higher Y/Rec tends to be a ceiling signal (bigger-play reliance) more than a floor signal.
Rams vs Seahawks – Player Prop Stats
AWAY – Passing Player Passing Profile
4707 yards on 597 throws keeps the passing baseline tied tightly to volume. Passing TD total is 46.
| Team |
Player |
Pos |
Comp/Att |
Comp% |
Yards |
TD |
| AWAY |
Matthew Stafford |
QB |
388/597 |
65% |
4707 |
46 |
AWAY – Rushing Player Rushing Profile
TD context: 10 TD on 259 carries (~0.77 per 20 carries) is a useful anytime baseline when the role stays intact.
| Team |
Player |
Pos |
Carries |
YPC |
Yards |
TD |
| AWAY |
Kyren Williams |
RB |
259 |
4.83 |
1252 |
10 |
AWAY – Receiving Player Receiving Profile
Repeatable signal: targets. Puka Nacua at 166 targets gives a defined usage floor, with efficiency at 10.33 yards/target.
| Team |
Player |
Pos |
Receptions |
Targets |
Yards |
| AWAY |
Puka Nacua |
WR |
129 |
166 |
1715 |
HOME – Passing Player Passing Profile
Prop inputs (feed fields): attempts 477, completions 323, yards 4048, TD 25, derived YPA 8.49.
| Team |
Player |
Pos |
Comp/Att |
Comp% |
Yards |
TD |
| HOME |
Sam Darnold |
QB |
323/477 |
68% |
4048 |
25 |
HOME – Rushing Player Rushing Profile
Prop profile: carries 184, yards 730, YPC 3.97, TD 12.
| Team |
Player |
Pos |
Carries |
YPC |
Yards |
TD |
| HOME |
Zach Charbonnet |
RB |
184 |
3.97 |
730 |
12 |
HOME – Receiving Player Receiving Profile
Usage: 163 targets → 119 catches. Production: 1793 yards. Targets set floor; yards/target (11.00) drives ceiling.
| Team |
Player |
Pos |
Receptions |
Targets |
Yards |
| HOME |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
WR |
119 |
163 |
1793 |
Prop Leans Based on Usage and Efficiency
- TD props (mechanical):
compare QB TD rate (7.71% vs 5.24%) and RB carry-based TD pace (~0.77 vs ~1.30 per 20 carries).
- When roles are stable:
those two rates are the cleanest feed-based scoring context you can apply without adding external data.
Latest Rams vs Seahawks Player Prop Odds
When books are tight on price, the separator is often the line itself. Compare the posted threshold to the usage profile—attempts for QBs, carries for RBs, targets for receivers—before worrying about juice.
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Anytime TD pricing (team feed):
avg +1083, best +1600 at FANDUEL.
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2+ TD pricing (team feed):
avg +12000, best +13000 at DRAFTKINGS.
