The Chargers head to Pittsburgh and the Ravens fly to Atlanta. Both of these games have serious playoff implications for the AFC. Draftkings have the Steelers listed as 3.5 point home favorites over the Los Angeles Chargers and the Falcons are 1.5 point favorites over the Ravens.
The Steelers have dropped two in a row. A loss to the Phillip Rivers and Los Angeles Chargers could knock the Steelers out of 4th seed contention in the AFC and open the door for another team to step into that slot.
Since the game is in Heinz Stadium, the Steelers are getting a little bit of home-field love on the odds-boards. Typically, home-field advantage equates to a field goal. So, at 3.5 points, handicappers believe these teams to be closely matched in neutral conditions. That said, this is only because Melvin Gordon is out with a sprained MCL. If he were expected to play, this game would be listed as a pick ‘em.
Another thing that should give Chargers backers pause is the fact that the Pittsburgh Steelers tend to play extremely well at night. Big Ben and the boys are an incredible fourteen and one while playing night games and have won those games by a point margin of just a tad over 13.
The Steelers are the second most potent passing offense in the league but they are going against a Chargers secondary that is seventh in shutting down air attacks. This game is going to turn into a passing shootout, but the Chargers may end up a little bit too one-dimensional with the loss of Gordon.
Take the Steelers to win this one underneath the lights at home.
The Ravens are scratching, biting, and kicking to grab the last available AFC Wild Card spot. Although they are going out of conference for this game, their poor overall record makes this a must-win to stay ahead of the Colts who are also vying for the No. 6 seed.
The Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons have only met five times throughout history. And in those meetings, the series is running slightly in favor of the Ravens at 3-2. That said, Baltimore owns the series when you look at cover the spread. The Ravens have covered the number four times in just five games.
There seems to be a fire lit under the Baltimore Ravens with Lamar Jackson behind center. They are one-dimensional, everyone knows that they are going to run the ball … but for the last two games, nobody has been able to stop Lamar Jackson and Gus Edwards for stuffing it down their throats.
The Falcons are way back at No. 24 in the league at stopping the run. So this bodes well for Ravens fans. Baltimore is 0-2 against the spread and wins in non-conference games this season. But the Falcons are 0-3 non-conference, so those negative stats negate each other. The Falcons are also just 25% on the season when listed as an underdog. This is the interesting part. The Falcons are now the favorites, yet they opened up as 2.5 point dogs. So, handicappers feel that the Ravens are 5.5 points better on neutral ground. But more than 62% of the public action has moved the line in favor of the Falcons. This is great for people looking to make a few bucks on this game at betting sites like Fanduel and Draft Kings. You can get a positive return on the Ravens Moneyline price of +105.
Take the Ravens to win on the road.
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