I tried to include as many players worthy of consideration for the Pro Football Hall of Fame as possible. Because of the sheer number of players in the NFL, you won’t see all of the young players who could register a percentage. If you don’t see a veteran appear on this list, chances are it’s because I don’t believe they are worthy of consideration for the Hall of Fame. I took most players with any kind of accolades, so there won’t be many cases of veterans being left out and I don’t think any of them will be controversial.
Players are ranked by the percent chances they have of making the Hall of Fame as of right now, the percentages do not reflect potential future progress. This is based on production, accolades, and how players are viewed by the NFL community in relation to their peers. I also factored in individual statistical accomplishments. So, a sixth-year player might have a low percentage, but that could just be because they haven’t had the time to build up a full resume yet. This is subjective and the percentages have been generated from the categories I listed above. I have tried to remain consistent throughout my judgments. To clear things up a little, I have also included a “YES” or “NO” next to every listed percentage. If the player has a “YES”, then I believe they will be enshrined in Canton one day. “NO” obviously means I don’t see the player making the Hall of Fame.
To help you get a better grasp of what the percentages mean, there’s a key down below. There will be a few interesting cases where a player will bend the rules of the key and have a low percentage but receive a “YES”. These are exceptional cases usually with high production but few accolades or low production but many accolades. Essentially, they are underrated or overrated players. There are also some instances where a player is too young to be a valid candidate for the Hall of Fame, but I expect they will get there with future success.
All players are listed on the teams they will be a part of in 2019, and I am including players who have retired since the end of the season. This section, along with a one including current free agents, will appear in every article of this series. No rookies will appear on this list since they haven’t fully established baselines for production and only have one season officially completed. Second-year players like Saquon Barkley, Darius Leonard, Derwin James, Baker Mayfield, and Bradley Chubb would register some percentage, but that number would be so unstable that I don’t want to even include it. Therefore, the youngest players that will appear have at least two seasons under their belts.
90-100% = Guaranteed Hall of Famer
85-89% = Should be in the Hall of Fame
80-84% = Long wait but should get in
70-79% = Tossups, cases need a little more work
65-69% = Best players who won’t make the Hall/ Players with rare talent still building cases
50-64% = Great players, not enough stats or accolades for serious consideration
40-49% = A few Pro Bowl and All-Pro selections
30-39% = Some sustained success at a Pro Bowl level
20-29% = Rare Pro Bowl or All-Pro selections
0-19% = High peak for short time/ Long career with minor accolades/ Young players
Von Miller LB- 95% YES
Miller has always been a great pass rusher. Through his eight NFL seasons, he’s had ten sacks or more seven times. Miller has 443 combined tackles, 98 sacks, 25 forced fumbles, seven Pro Bowl selections, three First Team All-Pro selections, and four Second Team All-Pro selections in just eight seasons. But the crowning moment of his career was his performance in the Broncos run to Super Bowl 50. He stepped it up to another level and was named Super Bowl MVP. His legacy is secure.
Chris Harris CB- 42% NO
Harris will be coming off of a major injury in 2019, which doesn’t bode well for the corner. However, he’s had an exceptional career so far. Despite being undrafted, he’s been to four Pro Bowls in eight NFL seasons and has two Second Team All-Pro selections and one First Team All-Pro selection under his belt. The tough part is that Harris is already going to turn 30 in 2019 and he only has 19 interceptions. I think he’ll come up short for the Hall at this pace.
Kansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce TE- 66% YES
Gronk may have just retired, but Kelce looks like he’s ready to pick up and carry the torch as the league’s most dominant tight end. Kelce has had five straight years of 850 receiving yards or more and three straight seasons with 1,000 receiving yards or more. That five-year stretch translates to 410 receptions, 5,236 receiving yards, and 32 receiving touchdowns. Kelce has been to the last four Pro Bowls and was a First Team All-Pro in 2016 and 2018. He’ll be turning 30-years-old this season, but Kelce has shown no signs of slowing down and will only put up bigger numbers with Mahomes at quarterback.
Patrick Mahomes QB-25% YES
Mahomes has only been a full-time starter for one year, but I’m onboard the hype train. I don’t even think prime Aaron Rodgers hype was this high, but Mahomes really did earn all of the talk. I mean, he won the MVP, Offensive Player of the Year award, made the Pro Bowl, was a First Team All-Pro, led the league QBR, led the league in passing touchdowns (50), and threw for over 5,000 yards as a 23-year-old NFL sophomore. 25% is really high for a player with one year as a full-time starter, deal with it.
Tyreek Hill WR- 21% NO
Hill’s days as a Chief may be numbered. While Hill has made the Pro Bowl all three of his NFL seasons and has been named to two First All-Pro Teams, the speedy receiver and return man is looking at a possible suspension and maybe even landing on the Commissioner’s Exempt List. Hill has 5,125 All-Purpose yards in his career. While he’s an incredible football player who is deserving of a higher percentage, I’m betting his off the field issues destroy any chances he has at Canton.
Los Angeles Chargers
Philip Rivers QB- 100% YES
People might wonder whether Rivers had done enough to deserve to enter Canton, but he has. The eight-time Pro Bowler has been the most consistent of the 2004 rookie quarterbacks. He’s also at least eighthin each of the three major passing categories (completions, yards, and touchdowns). Even if it takes a few years of eligibility, I don’t see how he can’t be a Hall of Famer.
Thomas Davis LB- 40% NO
Davis has come back from some horrific injuries and played at a high level, but three Pro Bowls and one All-Pro selection aren’t enough to justify him being in Canton. I don’t see any way for him to even make it past the first round of voting.
Mike Pouncey C- 25% NO
After a two-year hiatus, Pouncey returned to the Pro Bowl in 2018. It was his fourth selection. While Pouncey has always been one of the better centers in the league, he’s never broken into that elite All-Pro group. Now that he’s in Los Angeles and playing on a successful team though, he might get more exposure and attention.
Casey Hayward CB- 24% NO
Hayward threw together Pro Bowl performances in 2016 and 2017 but he failed to record an interception in 2018. He has made two Second All-Pro Teams and has three seasons with four or more interceptions. But that’s not even close to being worthy of the Hall of Fame.
Joey Bosa DE- 16% YES
Bosa missed half of 2018 but he still has 28.5 sacks in three years. The 2016 Defensive Rookie of the Year is terrific against the run too. He certainly has the early makings of a Hall of Famer, but it’s still way too soon to say anything is for sure.
Antonio Brown WR- 92% YES
Well, Brown’s legacy just took a hit. His antics, actions, and claims this offseason will take a toll on his image, just as they did for other all-time greats like Terrell Owens. I once considered Brown a surefire first-ballot Hall of Famer, but now I believe he’s given people enough reasons to make him wait a few years. Still, there’s no doubt that Brown is a Hall of Famer and he has statistically been the most dominant receiver in the league over the past six seasons.
Brown has made seven Pro Bowls, including the last six, and he made four consecutive First All-Pro Teams from 2014 to 2017. Brown has led the league in receptions twice, receiving yards twice, and receiving touchdowns once. The former sixth-round pick has put together one of the most dominant six-year spans in league history, recording 686 receptions, 9,145 receiving yards, and 67 receiving touchdowns over the last six seasons. On a new team and entering his age 31 season, it will be interesting to see if Brown can keep his run going.
Derek Carr QB- 24% NO
Carr was once one of the most promising quarterbacks in the NFL. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still a good quarterback, but public opinion has soured thanks to Jon Gruden sabotaging his own team in 2018. No one even noticed that Carr posted single-season career highs in passing yards and completion percentage. While he already has three Pro Bowls under his belt, Carr is in a really bad situation and it could take him and the Raiders a long time to dig themselves out of the ever expanding pit on Oakland.
Antonio Gates TE- 100% YES
Gates holds to record for the most receiving touchdowns by a tight end in NFL history. He also ranks third all-time in receptions and receiving yards at his position. Gates has ten seasons with 700 receiving yards or more, making him at least a top-five tight end of all-time and one of the most dominant players in NFL history. He has 955 receptions, 11,841 receiving yards, and 116 receiving touchdowns.
Eric Berry S- 83% YES
Berry has played just three regular-season games over the last two seasons. His recent injuries are just the latest in a long list that have plagued the Tennessee product throughout his career. The most famous ailment was when he was diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma back in 2014. Berry beat cancer just in time to come back for the 2015 season, winning Comeback Player of the Year, and making a First All-Pro Team. Throughout his career, the long-time Chief has made five Pro Bowls and three First All-Pro Teams. Berry and Earl Thomas are the best safeties in the post-Ed Reed/Troy Polamalu era.
Brandon Marshall WR- 74% NO
Marshall hasn’t hung up his cleats yet, but the end must be near. He saw action in seven games in 2018 but averaged less than 20 yards per game. I hope that’s not how Marshall is remembered though. At one point, Marshall was one of the most elite wide receivers in the entire league. He has eight seasons with over 1,000 receiving yards and six seasons with 100 or more receptions, which statistically ranks among some of the game’s greats. However, his numbers are along the borderline of great and all-time great. He’s 16th all-time in receptions and 22nd in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. He also has six Pro Bowls, one First Team All-Pro selection, and one Second Team All-Pro selection. I don’t think Marshall will make the Hall of Fame. Consider how players like Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt are still waiting for induction, and Anquan Boldin, Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson, Steve Smith Sr., and Reggie Wayne are coming down the pipe. Marshall will be left on the outside looking in.
Kam Chancellor S- 60% NO
Chancellor still hasn’t technically retired even though he hasn’t played in a game since 2017. The former enforcer of the Legion of Boom suffered a career-ending neck injury in 2017 but remained on the Seahawks roster until recently. A four-time Pro Bowler and two-time Second Team All-Pro, Chancellor was one of the fiercest hitters in recent history. He really was like a linebacker playing safety. He’s a dark-horse Hall of Fame candidate. Being a part of the Legion of Boom could really help his case.
Brent Grimes CB- 27% NO
Even at age 35, Grimes still carries around the chip of being undrafted. Optimus Grimes has made four Pro Bowls in his career and racked up 33 interceptions, but he didn’t post an interception in 2018. The only other times he hasn’t recorded an interception in a season were in 2012 when he played just one game because of an injury, and 2007 when he appeared in just two games as a rookie. Grimes was a Second Team All-Pro in 2014.
Doug Baldwin WR- 18% NO
Speaking of having a chip on your shoulder, Baldwin, like Grimes, was an undrafted free agent determined to make the league acknowledge its’ mistake in not drafting him. Through eight seasons, Baldwin made two Pro Bowls, recorded 6,563 receiving yards, and led the league in receiving touchdowns once. Unfortunately, the Seahawks cut him after it was revealed he might never play again because of injuries.
Retired after 2018
Julius Peppers DE- 100% YES
Peppers has the fourth most sacks of all-time. He’s easily a first ballot Hall of Famer and no one will question it when he walks into Canton. It’s still hard to believe he recorded 11 sacks at 37 years old. Peppers finishes his career with 159.5 sacks, over 700 combined tackles, 51 forced fumbles, nine Pro Bowls, three First Team All-Pro selections, and three Second Team All-Pro selections. It’s sad to see one of the all-time greats walk away from the game.
Rob Gronkowski TE- 100% YES
Gronkowski, when healthy, was the most dominant tight end in the game since the unfathomable Tony Gonzalez. Gronkowski could have hit heights we’ve never seen before by a tight end if he wasn’t injured so often. His physical dominance makes him nearly unstoppable at points, but it’s also why he’s hurt so often. In his nine seasons, Gronk has made five Pro Bowls and made four First All-Pro Teams. He was also the 2014 Comeback Player of the Year. He finished his career with 521 receptions, 7,861 receiving yards, and 79 receiving touchdowns. He’s only set to turn 30 this year.
Marshawn Lynch RB- 100% YES
I thought Lynch had done enough to make the Hall of Fame when he retired after the 2015 season. He only solidified his candidacy by returning to the Gridiron and surpassing the 10,000-yard rushing mark. Lynch did miss most of 2018 with an injury, but he was averaging 62.7 rushing yards per game before going down. That would translate to just over 1,000 yards if he played in all 16 games. 2019 will be Lynch’s age 33 season, but I’d bet he still has some Beast Mode left in him.
Shane Lechler P- 77% NO
How does a punter finish with a 77% chance to make the Hall of Fame? Let me explain. While I don’t see Lechler making the Hall of Fame, he’ll be just the second full-time punter to garner serious consideration. The first was Ray Guy. In his 18-year career, Lechler made seven Pro Bowls (all with the Oakland Raiders), was a member of six First All-Pro Teams, and was on three Second All-Pro Teams as well. He was also selected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame First Team All-2000s Team. He led the league in yards per punt five times and finished first in total punt yards four times. In comparison, Guy played 14 seasons, all with the Raiders, and he made three First All-Pro Teams and led the league in yards per punt three times. Guy is the best punter of all-time and is in the Hall of Fame. What does that say about Lechler?
Jamaal Charles RB- 72% NO
I think it’s too often overlooked that Charles was once challenging Adrian Peterson for Pro Bowl and All-Pro bids. He was on that level before injuries stole what looked like a blossoming Hall of Fame career. The star running back missed most of 2011, 2015, and 2016 with injuries. He was a seldom-used backup in 2017 and 2018. Before the fall though, Charles had five 1,000-yard rushing seasons. His yards per carry average was one of the best marks of all-time. He was also a strong pass catcher, recording seven receiving touchdowns in 2013. Even with the injuries and setbacks, Charles still managed to record 10,156 yards from scrimmage in his career. He made four Pro Bowls, was a two-time First Team All-Pro, and a one-time Second Team All-Pro. Among qualified players, Charles’ 5.4 rushing yards per carry trail only Randall Cunningham (6.4), Marion Motley (5.7), and Michael Vick (7.0) on the all-time list.
Haloti Ngata DT- 66% NO
Ngata played football with a style that is dying out in the modern game. While he was listed as a defensive tackle, Ngata ate up space like a nose tackle, which created room for Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs to operate in. The long-time Baltimore Raven finished his career with 515 combined tackles, 32.5 sacks, and 37 passes defensed. He won a Super Bowl with the Ravens, went to five Pro Bowls, was voted to two First All-Pro Teams, and also made three Second All-Pro Teams. Ngata’s numbers will never jump off of the page, it takes a deeper look to see the impact he made during his career.
Ryan Kalil C- 56% NO
Kalil has made five Pro Bowls and been named to two First All-Pro Teams. That’s praiseworthy, but I don’t believe it will be anywhere near enough. Just jump up to the Atlanta Falcons section and see what I had to say about Mack. Offensive linemen really do get the short end of the stick when it comes to the Hall of Fame.
Kyle Williams DT- 52% NO
Williams retired after the 2018 season. He had a great 13-year career with the Bills, racking up over 600 combined tackles and 48.5 sacks. He made the Pro Bowl in his final season, giving him six total. While he was consistent and frequently recognized for his skill, he only made one Second All-Pro Team (2010) and that doesn’t warrant Hall of Fame consideration.
Brian Orakpo LB- 31% NO
While he had a nice career, some of Orakpo’s prime years were sapped by injuries. He recorded seven sacks or more seven times in his career and finished with a grand total of 66. Unfortunately, Orakpo played just nine combined games in 2012 and 2014. He went to four Pro Bowls and never made an All-Pro team.
Max Unger C- 27% NO
Unger’s retirement was a surprise. He made the Pro Bowl in 2018 for the first time since 2013 and is a key reason for why the New Orleans Saints offensive line has improved so much recently. In total, Unger went to three Pro Bowls, was a First Team All-Pro in 2012, and won a Super Bowl with the Seattle Seahawks.