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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Odds & Picks

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Odds & Picks โ€“ January 04, 2026

Publish Date: 01/02/2026
National Football League
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04/01/2026
4:25pm
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Chiefs (6-10-0) travel to face the Raiders (2-14-0) on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium, with kickoff set for 01:25 pm ET. Both teams enter this matchup after losses in their previous games.

The Chiefs are favored by +3.5 points, placing the Raiders in an underdog role from a betting perspective. Both teams have shown mixed results against the spread in recent weeks.

Below, youโ€™ll find key betting stats and information to consider before placing any wagers on this matchup.





Raiders vs Chiefs: Need to Know Stats

Below is a look at how both teams have performed this season, with records covering straight-up results, against-the-spread outcomes, totals, and recent form.

Raiders Chiefs
Team Record
2 โ€“ 14
Team Record
6 โ€“ 10
Home Record
2 โ€“ 14
Away Record
6 โ€“ 10
ATS Record
6 โ€“ 10
ATS Record
6 โ€“ 10
Over/Under Record
8 โ€“ 8
Over/Under Record
4 โ€“ 12
Last 5 Record
0 โ€“ 5
Last 5 Record
0 โ€“ 5


Best Odds For Raiders vs Chiefs

The current betting market lists Chiefs as the favorite, laying +3.5 points against the spread. On the moneyline, Chiefs are priced at -205, while Raiders are available at +170. These prices reflect the pregame market positioning for this matchup based on available sportsbook listings.


Money Line -215 FanDuel +195 DraftKings
Spread 4.5 -105 FanDuel -3.5 -105 DraftKings
Over/Under -102 DraftKings -118 DraftKings


View spread, total, and moneyline comparisons for Raiders vs Chiefs with odds sourced from trusted books. For comprehensive NFL betting site rankings, visit our independent rankings of NFL betting sites.



Season Records & Win Probabilities

The season sheet tilts toward KC. Their 6-10 pairs with 64% in a way the havenโ€™t matched yet. The visitorsโ€™ line โ€” โ€” holds more weight right now.

Statistic LV KC
Overall Record 2-14 6-10
Win Probability 36% 64%
Recent Form (Last 5) 0โ€“5 0โ€“5
Total Wins 2 6
Total Losses 14 10


Recent Form & Momentum

You wonโ€™t find separation in the last five games. Both teams sit at 0โ€“5, which leaves recent form as a wash.

Metric LV KC
Last 5 Record 0โ€“5 0โ€“5
Win Percentage (L5) 0% 0%
Season Record 2โ€“14 6โ€“10


Raiders vs Chiefs Offensive Stats Breakdown

Zoomed out, the offensive matchup between and is as much about balance as it is about volume. Geno Smith powers much of โ€™s yardage through the air with 3025 passing yards while Ashton Jeanty provides a credible threat on the ground with 888 rushing yards . look for a similar blend, with Patrick Mahomes leading their passing totals at 3587 yards and Kareem Hunt adding 597 yards on the ground .

Passing Matchup

On the stat sheet, Geno Smith accounts for 3025 passing yards and 19 TDs . Patrick Mahomes answers with 3587 yards and 22 scores .

Team Player Pos Comp/Att Comp% Yards TD
LV Geno Smith QB 302/448 67% 3025 19
KC Patrick Mahomes QB 315/502 63% 3587 22

Ashton Jeanty and Kareem Hunt sit at the top of the rushing charts for their teams.

Most of the carries come from the backfield on both sides.

Receiving Matchup

The receiving matchup is centered on tight ends on each side.

Team Player Pos Receptions Targets Yards
KC Travis Kelce TE 64 86 680
Brock Bowers TE 73 102 839


Geno Smith vs Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Odds

For Geno Smith and Patrick Mahomes, rushing props are limited to quarterback movement with the ball. These markets do not include passing or receiving statistics.

As the noise fades and the matchup settles into focus, the room keeps circling back to Super Bowl props board.



Injury Report

The Raiders and Chiefs are shown on this weekโ€™s injury report. All reported injuries can be found in the section below.

Chiefs
Raiders
Keaontay Ingram
โ€“ Undisclosed
Darius Rush
โ€“ Undisclosed
BJ Thompson
โ€“ Illness
Eric Scott Jr.
โ€“ Knee
Xavier Worthy
โ€“ Shoulder/Knee
Joshua Williams
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Tyquan Thornton
โ€“ Head
Rashee Rice
โ€“ Suspended
Marquise Brown
โ€“ Ankle
Bryan Cook
โ€“ Ankle
Kristian Fulton
โ€“ Undisclosed
JuJu Smith-Schuster
โ€“ Knee
Isiah Pacheco
โ€“ Knee
Jalen Royals
โ€“ Knee
Jared Wiley
โ€“ Knee
Nazeeh Johnson
โ€“ Shoulder
Patrick Mahomes
โ€“ Right Wrist
Gardner Minshew
โ€“ Knee
Jaden Hicks
โ€“ Pectoral
Trent McDuffie
โ€“ Knee
Drue Tranquill
โ€“ Back
Skyy Moore
โ€“ Ankle
Elijah Mitchell
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Deon Bush
โ€“ Achilles
Chamarri Conner
โ€“ Wrist
Kareem Hunt
โ€“ Calf
Chris Roland-Wallace
โ€“ Hand
Brashard Smith
โ€“ Illness
Jeffrey Bassa
โ€“ Knee
Nick Bolton
โ€“ Biceps
Mike Edwards
โ€“ Shoulder
Jaylen Watson
โ€“ Back
Melvin Smith Jr.
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
James Winchester
โ€“ Hamstring
Jack Cochrane
โ€“ Knee
Cam Jones
โ€“ Hip
Ajani Carter
โ€“ Hamstring
Brandon George
โ€“ Undisclosed
Mike Danna
โ€“ Quadriceps
Creed Humphrey
โ€“ Rib
Leo Chenal
โ€“ Shoulder
Omarr Norman-Lott
โ€“ Ankle
George Karlaftis
โ€“ Thumb
Hunter Nourzad
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
C.J. Hanson
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Wanya Morris
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Trey Smith
โ€“ Knee/Illness
Josh Simmons
โ€“ Illness
Jawaan Taylor
โ€“ Knee
Ethan Driskell
โ€“ Appendix
Kingsley Suamataia
โ€“ Concussion
Jaylon Moore
โ€“ Illness
Esa Pole
โ€“ Ankle
Nikko Remigio
โ€“ Thumb
Noah Gray
โ€“ Concussion/Shoulder
Jake Briningstool
โ€“ Hamstring
Jason Brownlee
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Charles Omenihu
โ€“ Ankle
Felix Anudike-Uzomah
โ€“ Hamstring
Malik Herring
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Chris Jones
โ€“ Personal
Ashton Gillotte
โ€“ Elbow
Janarius Robinson
โ€“ Foot
Jerry Tillery
โ€“ Elbow
Jakorian Bennett
โ€“ Pectoral
Tre Tucker
โ€“ Knee
Zamir White
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
AJ Cole
โ€“ Ankle
Geno Smith
โ€“ Quad
Dont’e Thornton Jr.
โ€“ Concussion
Jeremy Chinn
โ€“ Pectoral
Aidan O’Connell
โ€“ Wrist
Phillip Dorsett II
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Jakobi Meyers
โ€“ Knee/Toe
Jack Bech
โ€“ Back
Isaiah Pola-Mao
โ€“ Ankle
E.Stokes
โ€“ Knee
Dylan Laube
โ€“ Hamstring
Decamerion Richardson
โ€“ Hamstring
Chris Smith II
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Darnay Holmes
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Raheem Mostert
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Lonnie Johnson Jr.
โ€“ Fibula
Jamal Adams
โ€“ Knee
Thomas Harper
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Chris Collier
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Kyu Blu Kelly
โ€“ Hamstring
Greedy Vance
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Carter Runyon
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Charles Snowden
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Elandon Roberts
โ€“ Elbow
Cody Lindenberg
โ€“ Achilles
Germaine Pratt
โ€“ Non Injury Related
Jackson Powers-Johnson
โ€“ Concussion
Charles Grant
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Jordan Meredith
โ€“ Ankle
Dylan Parham
โ€“ Ankle
Will Putnam
โ€“ Shoulder
Adam Butler
โ€“ Back
Kolton Miller
โ€“ Ankle
Caleb Rogers
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Thayer Munford Jr.
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Ian Thomas
โ€“ Calf
Alex Bachman
โ€“ Ankle
Seth Williams
โ€“ Undisclosed
Qadir Ismail
โ€“ Undisclosed
Michael Mayer
โ€“ Concussion
Justin Shorter
โ€“ Knee
Brock Bowers
โ€“ Knee
JJ Pegues
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Leki Fotu
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Jonah Laulu
โ€“ Ribs
Tonka Hemingway
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
Maxx Crosby
โ€“ Knee
Andre Carter II
โ€“ Gameday Inactive
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