


Texans (12-5-0) travel to face the Patriots (14-3-0) on Sunday at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff set for 03:00 pm ET. Both teams enter this matchup after wins in their previous games.
The Patriots are favored by -3.5 points, placing the Texans in an underdog role from a betting perspective. The Patriots have covered the spread more often than not in recent games.
Below, you’ll find key betting stats and information to consider before placing any wagers on this matchup.
Below is a look at how both teams have performed this season, with records covering straight-up results, against-the-spread outcomes, totals, and recent form.
| Patriots | Texans |
|---|---|
|
Team Record 14 – 3 |
Team Record 12 – 5 |
|
Home Record 14 – 3 |
Away Record 12 – 5 |
|
ATS Record 12 – 5 |
ATS Record 9 – 8 |
|
Over/Under Record 11 – 6 |
Over/Under Record 6 – 11 |
|
Last 5 Record 4 – 1 |
Last 5 Record 5 – 0 |
The current betting market lists Patriots as the favorite, laying -3.5 points against the spread. On the moneyline, Patriots are priced at -180, while Texans are available at +152. These prices reflect the pregame market positioning for this matchup based on available sportsbook listings.
Stay ahead of line movements in the Patriots–Texans matchup with live odds updates. For a full list of recommended football wagering sites, see our football betting sites with proven track records.
If you’re weighing the long haul, the Patriots come out ahead. 14-3 with 62% reads as a stronger look than the Texans at 12-5 and 38%.
| Statistic | NE | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Record | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Win Probability | 62% | 38% |
| Recent Form (Last 5) | 4–1 | 5–0 |
| Total Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Total Losses | 3 | 5 |
Recent form leans toward the , whose 5–0 record outpaces the 4–1 line for the . The visitors arrive with the steadier base.
| Metric | NE | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 Record | 4–1 | 5–0 |
| Win Percentage (L5) | 80% | 100% |
| Season Record | 14–3 | 12–5 |
The offensive storyline stretches from the pocket to the skill positions. have seen Stefon Diggs emerge in the passing game with 85 catches for 1013 yards while TreVeyon Henderson adds balance on the ground with 911 rushing yards . counter with Nico Collins contributing 71 receptions and 1117 receiving yards of his own.
The passing game runs through Drake Maye on one sideline and C.J. Stroud on the other. Drake Maye sits at 72% while C.J. Stroud checks in at 65% .
| Team | Player | Pos | Comp/Att | Comp% | Yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | Drake Maye | QB | 354/492 | 72% | 4394 | 31 |
| HOU | C.J. Stroud | QB | 273/423 | 65% | 3041 | 19 |
TreVeyon Henderson and Nick Chubb sit at the top of the rushing charts for their teams.
Running backs account for the bulk of the rushing totals here.
This matchup is led by wide receivers, as Stefon Diggs and Nico Collins top their teams’ receiving stats.
| Team | Player | Pos | Receptions | Targets | Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | Nico Collins | WR | 85 | 102 | 1013 |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 71 | 120 | 1117 |
Rushing yardage props for Drake Maye and C.J. Stroud often appear alongside passing markets but are distinct from them. Each rushing line evaluates ground production independently.
The noise around the Super Bowl builds fast, and somewhere between tape and late-night coffee someone always drifts back to Super Bowl prop sheet.
According to the current injury report, each team have players appear on. The full list are outlined in the table below.
Texans
Patriots
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