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Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Picks – January 11, 2026

Publish Date: 01/09/2026

The Jaguars (13-4-0) host the Bills (12-5-0) at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff scheduled for 01:00 pm ET. Both teams enter this matchup after wins in their previous games.

The Jaguars are favored by -1.5 points, indicating a closely lined contest based on current sportsbook pricing. The Jaguars have covered the spread more often than not in recent games.

Below, you’ll find key betting stats and information to consider before placing any wagers on this matchup.





Jaguars vs Bills: Need to Know Stats

Below is a look at how both teams have performed this season, with records covering straight-up results, against-the-spread outcomes, totals, and recent form.

Jaguars Bills
Team Record
13 – 4
Team Record
12 – 5
Home Record
13 – 4
Away Record
12 – 5
ATS Record
12 – 5
ATS Record
8 – 9
Over/Under Record
10 – 7
Over/Under Record
9 – 8
Last 5 Record
5 – 0
Last 5 Record
4 – 1


Best Odds For Jaguars vs Bills

The current betting market lists Jaguars as the favorite, laying -1.5 points against the spread. On the moneyline, Jaguars are priced at -126, while Bills are available at +108. These prices reflect the pregame market positioning for this matchup based on available sportsbook listings.




Stay ahead of line movements in the Jaguars–Bills matchup with live odds updates. For a full list of recommended football wagering sites, see our football betting sites with proven track records.



Season Records & Win Probabilities

Stare at the numbers long enough and you’ll find the same story: dead even. The records land close, the win odds stay tight, and the recent patch doesn’t give either sideline a real nod.

Statistic JAC BUF
Overall Record 13-4 12-5
Win Probability 53% 47%
Recent Form (Last 5) 5–0 4–1
Total Wins 13 12
Total Losses 4 5


Recent Form & Momentum

The have put together the stronger five-game line at 5–0, while the arrive with 4–1 and more uneven Sundays.

Metric JAC BUF
Last 5 Record 5–0 4–1
Win Percentage (L5) 100% 80%
Season Record 13–4 12–5


Jaguars vs Bills Offensive Stats Breakdown

This breakdown looks at more than just who throws for the most yards; it’s about how each offense finishes drives. have gotten scoring contributions from Trevor Lawrence in the passing game with 29 touchdowns and Trevor Lawrence on the ground with 9 rushing scores . answer with Josh Allen’s 25 passing TDs and Josh Allen’s 14 rushing touchdowns as their own scoring punch.

Passing Matchup

Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen handle most of the throws. Trevor Lawrence has already taken 560 attempts while Josh Allen sits at 460 .

Team Player Pos Comp/Att Comp% Yards TD
JAC Trevor Lawrence QB 341/560 61% 4007 29
BUF Josh Allen QB 319/460 69% 3668 25

Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen sit at the top of the rushing charts for their teams.

Rushing production isn’t limited to handoffs.

Receiving Matchup

Wide receivers headline the receiving data on both sides, with Parker Washington matched against Khalil Shakir.

Team Player Pos Receptions Targets Yards
BUF Khalil Shakir WR 58 95 847
Parker Washington WR 72 95 719


Trevor Lawrence vs Josh Allen Player Prop Odds

Rushing-related props for Trevor Lawrence and Josh Allen isolate rushing output from overall offensive totals. Yardage and attempt props are priced without reference to passing efficiency.

Once the pads pop and both teams settle into their looks, you start to see why the staff keeps glancing at Super Bowl prop sheet.



Injury Report

This week’s injury report includes players from each team. The full list are outlined in the table below.

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