College Football week 4 Beating the Spread

A good week this past week makes us 17-11 ATS so far this season.

No. 18 Wisconsin (-5.5) vs. No. 12 Notre Dame (12 p.m., FOX) 

Jack Coan has a chance to play his old team the Badgers at Chicago’s Soldier Field. The Irish have struggled so far against mediocre opposition. The Badgers are great on defense, but poor on the offensive side of the ball. Pick Notre Dame +5.5

Colorado State at No. 5 Iowa (-22.5) (3:30 p.m., FS1) 

The spread here is scary because the Hawkeye offense hasn’t been setting the world on fire, but the Rams are not very good and Iowa will open up the offense this week. Pick Iowa +22.5

No. 7 Texas A&M (-5.5) vs. No. 16 Arkansas (3:30 p.m., CBS) 

Arkansas is dangerous with QB K.J.Jefferson rapidly developing and a tremendous ground game on top of that. The Aggies are a top 10 team for a reason and this should be one of the best games of the week. Pick Arkansas +5.5

No. 14 Iowa State (-6.5) at Baylor (3:30 p.m, FOX) 

Baylor is rushing for over 300 yards per game and even though Iowa State is the better team the points are too much to give in this one. Pick Baylor+6.5

No. 9 Clemson (-10.5) at N.C. State (3:30 p.m. ESPN)

Clemson barely escaped Georgia Tech last week with a goal-line stand. The Tiger’s defense is nasty. With all that being said I will give the points because Clemson has to have a break-out game soon, don’t they? Pick Clemson -10.5

Rutgers at No. 19 Michigan (-18.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC) 

Rutgers and Michigan are both vastly improved from last season and the point spread makes this an easy game to pick. Michigan wins but they won’t cover. Pick Rutgers +18.5

No. 24 UCLA (-5.5) at Stanford  (6 p.m., Pac-12 Network)

UCLA lost a shootout to an underrated Fresno State last week. The Cardinal have been better than expected. Pick UCLA -5.5

Tennessee at No. 11 Florida (-20) (7 p.m., ESPN) 

The Gators will be looking to battle an emotional letdown after last week’s near-miss against Alabama. The Vols are an average team but after last week I think you will see an effect on the Gators in the first half. Gators win but won’t cover. Pick Tennessee +20

Nebraska at No. 20 Michigan State (-3.5) (7 p.m., FS1)

This game seems a gimme, people are sleeping on a very good Spartans team and with Nebraska losing last week to the Sooners I think they will have a small letdown also. Pick Michigan State -3.5

Southern Miss at No. 1 Alabama (-44.5) (7:30 p.m., SECN) 

Southern Miss is bad, the points are large here but look for the Tide to roll. Pick Alabama -44.5

West Virginia at No. 4 Oklahoma (-16.5) (7:30 p.m., ABC) 

The Sooners especially Spencer Rattler have not played up to expectations and the Mountaineers are coming off a huge win. I think there is value in this spread and the Sooners win big. Pick Oklahoma -16.5

Akron vs. No. 10 Ohio State (-49.5) (7:30 p.m., BTN)

Akron lost 60-10 against Auburn and the Tigers defense is better than Ohio State’s. Pick Akron +49.5

Arizona at No. 3 Oregon (-28.5) (10:30 p.m., ESPN) 

Oregon is by far the better team here, the points seem like a lot, and when they do take the dog. Oregon wins but…. Pick Arizona +28.5

South Florida at No. 15 BYU (-22.5) (10:15 p.m, ESPN2)

BYU is on a roll and it will continue. Pick BYU -22.5