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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / College football week 3 picks, predictions against the spread for all Top 25 games

College football week 3 picks, predictions against the spread for all Top 25 games

Publish Date: 09/15/2022
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis
UNIVERSITY PARK, PA - SEPTEMBER 10: Penn State Nittany Lions Quarterback Sean Clifford (14) runs with the ball during the first half of the College Football game between the Ohio Bobcats and Penn State Nittany Lions on September 10, 2022, at Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA. (Photo by Gregory Fisher/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Top 25 Games against the spread

Week 3 of the 2022 college football season should not be as full of surprises as week two was, but I still expect a couple of upsets. Check out our top football betting strategies for betting on college football week 3.

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No. 1 Georgia (-24.5) at South Carolina (12 p.m., ESPN)

This is a huge spread on the road. The Gamecocks have split four home games under Shane Beamer. By an average of 22.3 points per match, the Bulldogs have won three consecutive games at Williams-Brice Stadium.

Pick: Georgia wins with 35-14 points and fails to cover the spread.

UConn at No. 4 Michigan (-47), (12 p.m. (ABC)

The Wolverines are up against another huge spread from the Huskies. Michigan averages 53.5 points per contest and J.J. McCarthy is the starting QB and has played well. However, they have allowed a fourth quarter TD in their past two weeks. In three games, the Huskies have had eight turnovers. This is a big number, and it will be very important.

Pick: Michigan, 48 UCONN 10 as Michigan, fails to cover.

No. 6 Oklahoma (-13.5) at Nebraska (12 p.m., FOX)

The Sooners will travel to Nebraska, where Mickey Joseph, interim coach, takes over for the remainder of the season. The Huskers allow 31.0 points per match, which is to much to beat an old Big 12 rival. Although the Huskers may be able to stay for a half, Oklahoma will eventually take over and add a late TD to win.

Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-24 and COVERS THE SPREADS

Check out the odds for Oklahoma vs Nebraska

Spread Moneyline Total
Bet Spread with Caesars +320 Odds From Fanduel Over 66.5 Odds from Betmgm
See Bet365 Odds -420 Odds from DraftKings See Odds from Caesars

Texas State No. 17 Baylor (-31) (12 p.m., FS1)

This is a big spread against a Baylor team that suffered a devastating two-overtime loss to BYU. Baylor won the road game last year by a score of 29-20. This spread seems far too large.

Pick: Baylor wins 41-13, but FAILS to COVER the Spread

No. 12 BYU at Number. 25 Oregon (-4) (3:30 p.m., FOX)

The schedule of the Cougars is absurd. The show continues in Oregon this week. Although the line fluctuated from its open of -6.5, it is trending back towards the Ducks. These two teams have not played since the 2006 Las Vegas Bowl. This will be a down-to-the-wire game.

Pick: BYU wins 30-27 and covers the spread.

No. 20 Ole Miss (-14.5) at Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m., ABC)

Lane Kiffin will bring the Rebels’ offensive machine, which averages 43.5 points per game, to Bobby Dodd Stadium. Geoff Collins has the Yellow Jackets at 4-10 ATS. Quinshod Judkins and Zach Evans both have huge games on the ground.

Pick: Ole Miss wins the 45-20 contest and COVERS it.

No. 22 Penn State (-3) at Auburn (3:30 p.m., CBS) 

The Nittany Lions will be playing a prove-it match and will need to defend the football at one the most difficult road venues in the SEC. Which quarterback do you trust most? Drew Allar or Sean Clifford? Or TJ Finley or Robby Ashford. The Nittany Lions have a 5-5 in their ten most recent games. It’s a 50-50 flip. They’re still the superior team.

Pick: Penn State wins 28-24 and COVERS the spread

Check out the odds for Penn State vs Auburn

Spread Moneyline Total
Bet Spread with Caesars -166 Odds From Fanduel Over 48.5 Odds from Betmgm
See Bet365 Odds +138 Odds from DraftKings See Odds from Caesars

UL-Monroe at No.2 Alabama (-49.5) (4 p.m., SEC Network)

In Saban’s 2014 season, Louisiana-Monroe defeated Alabama 21-14. Since then, the Crimson Tide has not lost a regular-season non-conference game. You can expect them to be sharper after their 100-yard penalty game win against Texas. We’ll still lean towards the blowout, even though it’s still a wide spread.

Pick: Alabama wins with 57-3 and COVERS THE SPACE.

Liberty at No. 19 Wake Forest (-16.5) (5 p.m. ACC Network).

Average Demon Deacons score 44.5 points per match, while Sam Hartman threw four TDs for an average of 11.4 yards per attempt during his return in Week 2. Wake Forest cannot afford to ignore Clemson. Hugh Freeze’s team is solid, but they may be able to catch up in the second period.

Pick: Wake Forest wins from 45-17 and COVERS THE SPACE

Toledo at No. 3 Ohio State (-31) (7 p.m., FOX)

Ohio State will face another MAC opponent in a prime-time game at Ohio Stadium. Although the Rockets lost the previous meeting 27-22 in 2011, the Buckeyes’ offense has too many weapons. This season, the Buckeyes are 0-2 against the spread. Check out the top football odds for this weekend.

Pick Ohio State wins 56-13 and COVERS the spread

Texas Tech at No. 16 N.C. State (-9.5) (7 p.m., ESPN2)

This could be one of the best games of the weekend. Under new coach Joey McGuire, the Red Raiders are now 2-0. Texas Tech lost its previous two visits to Carter Finley Stadium, by an average of 31.5 points per match. However, this game feels like it could be a shootout between Devin Leary and Donovan Smith.

Pick N.C. State wins 34-31, but fails to cover the spread

Akron at No. 15 Tennessee (-47.5), (7 p.m. SEC Network

The Zips are terrible, coming off a 52-0 loss to Michigan State. While the Vols can pick their score, the question is when they will manage it, given that Florida is on the agenda for Week 4. The starters will sit in the fourth quarter and the Zips could get a back-door cover.

Pick: Tennessee wins 56-10 and FAILS to COVER the spread

No. 11 Michigan State at Washington (-2) (7:30 p.m., ESPN)

Although the schedule hasn’t yet tested the Spartans, a cross-country flight from Denver to Husky Stadium should be sufficient. Washington’s quarterback, Michael Penix Jr., is a great addition. Despite Michigan State losing its three previous games against Pac-12 rivals, it breaks the trend here.

Pick: Michigan State wins an UPSET 30-27

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No. 23 Pitt (-11) at Western Michigan (7:30 p.m., ESPNU)

While the Panthers lost against Tennessee in overtime. Both Nick Patti and Kedon Slovis, Pitt’s quarterbacks, are also in pain. The Panthers win despite all of that (and the road trip).

Pick: Pitt wins 34-21 and COVERS the spread.

South Florida at No. 18 Florida (-24.5) (7:30 p.m., TBD)

This has been a consistent line and the Gators must continue to play well after facing reality against Kentucky. Anthony Richardson played a key role in last year’s victory against the Bulls, which was 42-20. Under coach Jeff Scott, South Florida is currently 10-8 ATS. There is some hangover risk for the Gators. Of course, South Florida allows 35 points per game. This is not an easy choice.

Pick: Florida wins with 40 to 20 and DOES NOT COVER the spread.

UTSA at No. 21 Texas (-13.5) (8 p.m., Longhorn Network)

The Roadrunners played shootouts against Houston, Army. They can score around playmaking quarterback Frank Harris. We’re happy as long as the spread is under 14 points. Hudson Card will be playing quarterback for the Longhorns.

Pick: Texas wins from 41 to 31, and COVERS the spread.

Louisiana Tech at No. 5 Clemson (-33) (8 p.m. ACC Network).

The Tigers have a big spread against the Bulldogs. They will air it with Sonny Cumbie, their new coach. Although the Bulldogs have Parker McNeil (their quarterback) and Parker Downing (their defense), they will not be able to overcome the Tigers’ defense.

Pick Clemson wins the match 45-10, and covers the spread

No. 16 Miami at No. 24 Texas A&M (-6, ESPN)

What’s the difference? Miami knows its quarterback. Tyler Van Dyke completed 73.3 percent in two games. This efficiency is impressive. This number could fall even further before kickoff. Grab it Now

Pick: Miami wins 31 to 27 in an UPSET

San Diego State at No. 14 Utah (-21) (10 p.m., ESPN2)

The spread continues to grow, and the Utes will seek revenge for their 33-31 loss to the Aztecs last year. After the Florida loss, the Utes are now in win-out mode and showed that with a 73-7 win against Southern Utah last week. The Aztecs still manage to get enough ground to score a win. Check out the top college football betting sites.

Pick: Utah wins by 34-10 and covers the spread.

Fresno State is No. 7 USC (-12.5) (10.30 p.m. FOX)

The offense? With Caleb Williams as a quarterback, it’s an efficient machine. Last week, Fresno State defeated Oregon State by 35 to 32. The line opened at 16 points. Consider the value of the Trojans.

Pick: USC wins41-24 and COVERS THE SPACE.

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