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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / College Football Week 11 Predictions 2021

College Football Week 11 Predictions 2021

LINCOLN, NE - NOVEMBER 6: Quarterback C.J. Stroud #7 of the Ohio State Buckeyes drops back to pass against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in the first half at Memorial Stadium on November 6, 2021 in Lincoln, Nebraska. (Photo by Steven Branscombe/Getty Images)

Week 10 delivered once again, proving the regular season for College Football is the best out of all sports. Case in point, seven Top-25 teams, lost to unranked opponents. Week 11 features four separate ranked vs ranked matchups along with a handful of games flying under the radar. After the 2nd week of rankings, some of the dust has settled for Cincy as far as the Bearcats moving up and the numerous challenging games other highly ranked teams face. Why did Michigan State fall below Michigan? Why didn’t Baylor fall more after losing to TCU? Why the hell was Minnesota and Mississippi State ranked? Guys if you have ever wanted to bet on some games just for fun check out which shows you the best place to bet.


Marquee Matchups

#4 Ohio State vs #19 Purdue: The Boilermakers are coming off a massive victory over the Spartans to go along with another highly-ranked upset over Iowa. However, they did lose to Minnesota and got beat handily by a resurging Wisconsin team. Can Purdue make it three wins in a row? I guess not with the way Las Vegas thinks of this marquee matchup setting them as a 20.5-point underdog. Ohio State has won 7 straight games since dropping a close to Oregon and needs this win here to keep pace in the Playoff Rankings. Purdue can pass the ball like crazy averaging 332 yards per game, and the Buckeyes have given up a fair amount of passing yards thus far. Purdue runs the ball for just 77 yards a game and has problems stopping the run. That stat alone, plus being on the road and the letdown factory, gives me enough ammo to think Ohio State wins cleanly.


The Pick: Ohio State 40 Purdue 24


#8 Oklahoma vs #13 Baylor: Baylor fell to an unranked TCU last week, and the question is, can they stop the bleeding? Wins over BYU and Iowa State stand out for Baylor, but the way they’ve won so many games close has me scratched my head about how good they are. Beyond the two losses, the same can be said or asked about the Sooners as far as winning ugly. Sure, Oklahoma won by a large margin versus Texas Tech, but they have six wins with the margin of error was just one score. Not to mention they almost got beat by Kansas. It’s fair to say Oklahoma is better now with a new QB in Caleb Williams, plus the Sooners are coming off a bye week enough to give them the edge.


The Pick: Oklahoma 34 Baylor 30 


Under The Radar


#11 Texas A&M vs #15 Ole Miss: The Aggies secured another quality victory last week by defeating Auburn in a no-nonsense throwback game. After losing two games in the early season, Texas A&M has strung together four wins, one coming against Alabama. Ole Miss lost to Alabama but found a way to win 4 out of their last five games, one being a crazy finish with Arkansas. Injuries at the skilled positions, especially wide receiver, have hampered Ole Miss of late, whereas it seems the Aggies have found their groove. Adding to that fact, Texas A&M’s has a clear advantage on defense and do just enough on offense. This SEC West title might come down to which team has the ball at the end.


The Pick: Texas A&M 27 Ole Miss 23


Saturday Upset Special


After defeating UNC #12, Wake Forest is a 1.5-point favorite over #16 N.C. State and the Wolfpack will pull the minor upset.


Hardcore Barnburner


#25 Arkansas vs LSU: The Tigers almost did the unthinkable but fell short to Bama last week. While the Hogs got a pivotal win to pop back up in the Top-25 and, of course, have to play a night game in Baton Rouge, which isn’t easy.



Nevada: Both teams lost to Fresno State, but they find themselves in a two-way tie on the West side of the Mountain West conference with only that one loss to Fresno. #22 San Diego State vs. This one has barnburner written all over it.


Against The Spread


Losers of two in a row, are we sure SMU beats Central Florida by 7-points?


Northwestern finds a way to lose by less than 24.5 points to Wisconsin.


(Honorable Mention: Oddsmakers teasing Purdue as a 20.5-point favorite to Ohio State after knocking off previously unbeaten MSU.)



Take it to the window. 


Ragin Cajuns cover as a 6.5-point favorite at Troy.


Miami vs Florida State will go over the 61 points set as over/under.



Quick Hits Recap & My Top-4 Plus 2 More. 


-My Top 4: Georgia, Alabama, Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Oregon, Ohio State


-Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell threw for 536 yards and 3 TD’s in a big upset over Sparty.


-The Boilermakers now have the most wins over AP Top-5 opponents while being unranked in those games.


-Alabama barely won the game over LSU, but the craziest stat is the Crimson Tide, only rushing for six total yards.


-Central Florida’s Brian Battie returned two 100-yard kickoff returns for touchdowns in a loss to Houston. Battie has three on the year now and became just the 2nd player in FBS history to score twice in one game on KO returns.


-Nebraska has outscored their Big Ten opponents 190-176 but somehow has managed just one victory.


-For five games in a row, Miami Hurricanes games have been decided by 4 points or less. The Canes have won three of them.


-Arizona ended a 20-game losing streak by beating a severely depleted team in California.

Written by Chris Carlson, Host of The College Ball Show Podcast available at and TheGruelingTruth.Com

Follow on Twitter @RopeADopeRadio

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