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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / College Football / College football picks against the spread for Week 5 top 25 games

College football picks against the spread for Week 5 top 25 games

Publish Date: 09/29/2022
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa
TUSCALOOSA, ALABAMA - SEPTEMBER 24: Bryce Young #9 of the Alabama Crimson Tide throws a pass against the Vanderbilt Commodores during the first half of the game at Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 24, 2022 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Top 25 Games

Over the last two weeks, we have gone 13-6 and 13-7 against the spread. Check out the top football odds.

No. 19 BYU (-24) at Utah State (8 p.m., ESPN) 

The Aggies turn the ball over a lot, and BYU QB Jaren Hall has only thrown one interception this season. But the point spread here is huge with the Aggies at home and BYUs defense has struggled this year giving up over 26 points per game.

Pick: BYU 38  Utah State 20(Take the Aggies and the 24 points)

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No. 15 Washington (-2.5) at UCLA (10:30 p.m., ESPN)

Michael Pennix and the Huskys have been a surprise team this season, and this is a huge game for the Huskies. Both teams average over 40 points per game and over 500 total yards on offense. The Huskys are a perfect 4-0 against the spread this season.

Pick: UCLA 41  Washington 34(Take the Bruins and give the -2.5)

 

Texas Tech at No. 25 Kansas State (-7.5) (12 p.m., ESPN+)

These two teams took out Texas and Oklahoma last week, so this should be a great matchup between two teams coming off significant highs from last week. Kansas has won the last six matchups by an average of 7 points per game.

Pick Kansas State 31  Texas Tech 21 (take the Wildcats and give the 7.5 points)

 

No. 7 Kentucky at No. 14 Ole Miss (-6.5) (12 p.m., ESPN) 

This should be a tough hard-fought game, but the Wildcats have struggled running the ball, and OLE Miss is averaging well over 200 yards a game on the ground.

Pick: OLE Miss 27  Kentucky 26(Take the Wildcats and  the 6.5)

 

No. 4 Michigan (-10.5) at Iowa (12 p.m., FOX) 

The Iowa defense has been dominant, but the offense has been bad; Michigan struggles at Iowa, where they have lost four of their last 5 games. Michigan also struggled at home last week against Maryland, and JJ McCarthy will struggle in this game.

Pick: Michigan 20  Iowa 17(Take the Hawkeyes and the points)

 

No. 18 Oklahoma (-6) at TCU (12 p.m., ABC) 

The Sooners are coming off a shocking loss to Kansas State, and the Horned Frogs are coming off a rivalry victory against SMU. The Sooners will not lose two in a row.

Pick: Oklahoma 38  TCU 27(Take the Sooners and give the points)

 

Purdue at No. 21 Minnesota (-10.5) (12 p.m., ESPN2)

Minnesota has the top defense in the country so far, and the Boilermaker’s passing game should test that. Quarterback Tanner Morgan leads the Gophers, and a tough run game, the Gophers are better than people think.

Pick: Minnesota 31  Purdue 13 (take the Gophers and give the points)

 

Oregon State at No. 12 Utah (-11) (2 p.m., Pac-12 Network) 

The beavers are a much-improved team, and the Utes have bounced back strong after losing a tough season opener at Florida. 11 points are a huge spread here.

Pick: Utah 44  Oregon State 31 (take the Utes and the points)

 

No. 22 Wake Forest at No. 23 Florida State (-6) (3:30 p.m., ESPN) 

How will Wake response after coming off a close overtime loss to Clemson? Florida State is vastly improved, and the run game should give the Demon Deacons fits.

Pick: Florida State 34  Wake Forest 30(Take Wake and the points)

 

Rutgers at No. 3 Ohio State (-41) (3:30 p.m., BTN) 

The huge spread here makes it a scary proposition to take the Buckeyes. That being said, the Buckeyes are beginning to click, and Rutgers was the beneficiary of an easy early schedule.

Pick Ohio State 55  Rutgers 10(Take the Buckeyes and give the points)

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Northwestern at No. 11 Penn State (-25.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC/ESPN)

This spread is concerning as Northwestern is not very good, but they are good at slowing games down and playing at the tempo they want to play. Check out the top football betting strategies.

Pick: Penn State 27 Northwestern 17( Take the Wildcats and the points)

 

No. 9 Oklahoma State at No. 16 Baylor (-2.5) (3:30 p.m., FOX) 

Oklahoma State has had an extra week to prepare; these are two closely matched teams. The Cowboys will be looking for revenge from last year.

Pick: Oklahoma State 27  Baylor 24( Take the Cowboys and the points)

 

No. 2 Alabama (-15.5)  at No. 20 Arkansas (3:30 p.m., CBS) 

Arkansas pass defense has been below average this season, and Bryce Young will put himself firmly in the lead for the Heisman in this game.

Pick: Alabama 45  Arkansas 24(Take Bama and give the points)

Bet on Alabama vs Arkansas

Spread Moneyline Total
Bet Spread with Caesars -960 Odds From Fanduel Over 60.5 Odds from Betmgm
See Bet365 Odds +630 Odds from DraftKings See Odds from Caesars

 

Georgia Tech at No. 24 Pitt (-20.5) (8 p.m., ACC Network) 

Georgia Tech has a new coach, and it won’t matter because Pitt is just the better team.

Pick: Pitt 41  Georgia Tech 17(Take Pitt and give the points)

 

Arizona State at No. 6 USC (-24) (10:30 p.m., ESPN) 

Can you say mismatch? The Sun Devils can not stop the run, and the USC offense is explosive.

Pick: USC 51  Arizona State 17(Take the Trojans and give the points)

 

Stanford at No. 13 Oregon (-15.5) (11 p.m., FS1) 

Oregon has scored over 40 points in their last two home games, and the Cardinal can’t score enough to keep up with the Ducks.

Pick: Oregon 45  Stanford 24(Take the Ducks and give the points)

 

No. 10 NC State at No. 5 Clemson (-6.5) (7:30 p.m., ABC)

Clemson better have the offense rolling from the start in this one, as NC State is a legit threat to win at Clemson.

Pick: NC State 31  Clemson 24(Take the Wolfpack and the points)

Bet on NC State vs Clemson

Spread Moneyline Total
Bet Spread with Caesars +205 Odds From Fanduel Over 39.5 Odds from Betmgm
See Bet365 Odds -255 Odds from DraftKings See Odds from Caesars

 

No. 1 Georgia (-27.5) at Missouri (7:30 p.m., SEC Network) 

Georgia did not play well in a win over Kent State; my guess is they will take that out on Missouri.

Pick Georgia 47  Missouri 28(Take the Tigers and the points)

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