The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / College Football Beating the spread Week 8

College Football Beating the spread Week 8

SOUTH BEND, IN - OCTOBER 12: Notre Dame Fighting Irish react at the start of the fourth quarter against the USC Trojans at Notre Dame Stadium on October 12, 2019 in South Bend, Indiana. Notre Dame defeated USC 30-27. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

Last week 7-2 ats, for the season 47-28 ats.

No. 3 Oklahoma (-38.5) at Kansas (noon, ESPN)

The Jayhawks are horrible and have lost all-conference games by an average of 32.5 points per game. The Sooners now have their missing price at quarterback with Caleb Williams lighting it up. The Sooners win big. Pick Sooners -38.5

Illinois at No. 6 Penn State (-23.5) (noon, ABC)

If Sean Clifford plays, they should cover, but will he play. I will err on the side of caution and take the Illini and the points, but Penn State will win. Pick Illini +23.5

Northwestern at No. 7 Michigan (-21.5)

Northwestern played much better last week, and Michigan had a bye week. I look for a refreshed Michigan to put his away early. The points scare me here, but I like Michigan to cover. Pick Michigan -21.5

No. 16 Wake Forest (-3.5) at Army (noon, CBSSN)

UPSET ALERT! Wake gives up over 170 yards per game on the ground, and even with a bye week to prepare, I like the Black Knights to run all over Wake Forest. Pick Army +3.5

No. 8 Oklahoma State at Iowa State (-6.5)

It seems nobody respects Oklahoma State, and they should. The Cowboys are an excellent football team, and the fact that they are almost a touchdown underdog against Iowa State is simply mind-blowing. Pick Oklahoma State +6.5

No. 10 Oregon at UCLA (-1.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC)

Chip Kelly against his old team! This should be one of the best games of the week. UCLA is an unranked team favored over the number ten team in the country. Pick Oregon +1.5

LSU at No. 12 Ole Miss (-10.5) (3:30 p.m., CBS)

The Coach O farewell tour continues, and LSU seems to have found some semblance of a running game. Although Ole Miss is playing well and should have a huge home-field advantage, the spread scares me in this one. Pick Ole Miss -10.5.

Clemson at No. 23 Pitt (-3.5) (3:30 p.m., ESPN)

Upset alert! Clemson is an underdog at Pitt. Clemson’s offense has been anemic, but the defense is strong. I like Clemson in a minor upset. Pick Clemson +3.5

Wisconsin (-2.5) at No. 25 Purdue (3:30 p.m., BTN)

Purdue is coming off an emotional road win at highly ranked Iowa, which means a letdown is probably coming. Wisconsin is strong on defense, and this will be a low-scoring game. Pick Wisconsin -2.5

Tennessee at No. 4 Alabama (-27.5) (7 p.m., ESPN)

Jump on this line quickly! I think it will go even higher. Alabama is running the table and leaves no doubt phase, and the Volunteers are in the way. Pick Alabama -27.5

USC at No. 13 Notre Dame (-6.5) (7:30 p.m, NBC)

This year, USC has been a better road team, but it won’t matter as the Irish are just the more consistent team. Pick Notre Dame -6.5

No. 5 Ohio State (-18.5) at Indiana (7:30 p.m., ABC)

Jump all over this line before it goes up even more. Last year was a one-score classic. The problem in Indiana is the offense is nowhere near what it was last year. Pick Ohio State -18.5

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