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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / College Football Beating the Spread Week 11

College Football Beating the Spread Week 11

Week 11 beating the spread!
Publish Date: 11/11/2021
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis
ANN ARBOR, MICHIGAN - NOVEMBER 28: Sean Clifford #14 of the Penn State Nittany Lions avoids the tackle of Kwity Paye #19 of the Michigan Wolverines during the second half at Michigan Stadium on November 28, 2020 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

We finally came back to earth after an incredible streak of winning weeks. Last week’s tally was a disappointing 5-9 ATS, which brings us to 67-44 ATS for the season.  We are getting into the heat of the football season, and some exciting games are coming up. We’ve got a selection of some incredible odds, strategies and tips for betting on Football.

North Carolina at No. 25 Pitt (-6.5) (7:30 p.m., ESPN)

This should be a high-score affair which should go down to the last possession. Kenny Pickett and Sam Howell will put on a show, and the exciting stat coming into this game is that less than 7 points have decided the previous nine meetings between these teams. Pick UNC +6.5

Cincinnati (-23.5) at South Florida (6 p.m., ESPN) 

The Bearcats need a blowout win in this one. The injury to running back Jerome Ford is concerning, Desmond Ridder’s inconsistent play is concerning, and the Bearcats inability to stop the run is a huge concern. I still like the Cats to break out and get a much-needed dominant victory. Pick Cincy -23.5

New Mexico State at No. 1 Alabama (-51.5) (noon, SEC Network)

Let me ask you this question? Why is a game with a more than 50 point spread even being played? The answer is that the SEC does in November they take a bye week like this and smack around a helpless opponent. That’s the advantage of having to play one less conference game than every other conference plays. Pick New Mexico State +51.5

No. 4 Oklahoma (-5.5) at No. 18 Baylor (noon, FOX)

Nothing comes easy for the Sooners, and this game should be no different. The Sooners are coming off a bye week, and Baylor is coming off a disappointing performance against TCU. Pick Baylor +5.5

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No. 9 Michigan (-0.5) at No. 23 Penn State (noon, ABC) 

This is a big one for the Wolverines, and both teams have big-time defenses. This game will come down to which team can impose there will running the ball on the other team. I Like Michigan by a field goal. Pick Michigan -0.5

No. 17 Houston (-24.5) at Temple (noon, ESPN+)

Houston is a great road team, and Temple’s four losses are by an average of 39.5 points per game. Pick Houston -24.5

Northwestern at No. 20 Wisconsin (-23.5) (noon, ESPN2) 

The Badgers are on fire now, and they have a shot at making it to the Big Ten Championship game. Northwestern is playing much better than they were at the start of the season, but they are not very good this year. The Wildcats are a well-coached football team, and I think they get a back door cover in this one. Pick Northwestern +23.5

No. 1 Georgia (-20.5) at Tennessee (3:30 p.m., CBS) 

The Bulldogs have been historically great defensively so far this season. Tennessee, on the other hand, is scoring a lot of points. The ability to score points gives the Vols a shot to cover this game. Pick Tennessee +20.5

Purdue at No. 6 Ohio State (-20.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC)

Ohio State should take this game easily, but the Boilermakers will score just enough points to make this spread tough to deal with. In the end, I am taking the Buckeyes and giving the points, but I am nervous about it. Pick Ohio State -20.5

Minnesota at No. 19 Iowa (-5.5) (3:30 p.m., BTN)

The Gophers are down to their third-string running back and are struggling on offense. I like Iowa here because the Gophers will not be able to score enough points to get this one. Pick Iowa -5.5

No. 7 Notre Dame (-5.5) at Virginia (7:30 p.m., ABC)

Virginia has been hot, and they can do damage through the air with a big-time passing game. Notre Dame hasn’t lost since the Bearcats came to South Bend, and this game looks very competitive. Pick Notre Dame -5.5

TCU at No. 10 Oklahoma State (-12.5) (8 p.m., FOX)

Both teams have played well as of late, and I am simply going to go with the home team in this one. Pick Oklahoma State -12.5

Washington State at No. 5 Oregon (-13.5) (10:30 p.m., ESPN) 

Oregon is somehow rated in the top 4 of the college playoff rankings, and they shouldn’t be. Washington State keeps this one close. Pick Washington State +13.5

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