Beating the Spread College Football week 9

A big week for the Big Ten!
EAST LANSING, MICHIGAN - OCTOBER 02: The Michigan State Spartans celebrate their win against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Spartan Stadium on October 02, 2021 in East Lansing, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)

Last week I was 9-3 ats, which makes my record for the year 56-31 ats

 

No. 2 Cincinnati (-25.5) at Tulane (12 p.m., ESPN2)

Tulane season has gone down hill since the near upset of Oklahoma at the start of the season. You must figure that Tulane will give a great effort against the second ranked Bearcats. The Bearcats are coming off a to close for comfort game at Navy and will be wanting to show everybody that was a fluke. The bearcats will win by double-digits but over 25 points is a little big to me.

Pick Tulane +25.5

 

No. 6 Michigan (-4.5) at No. 8 Michigan State (12 p.m. FOX) 

This is a huge game with big-time playoff implications. The Spartans have the worst pass defense in the Big Ten, the problem for the Wolverines is that they don’t throw the ball all that well. Both teams have have physical defenses and this looks to be a low scoring game that could go either way.

Pick Michigan State +4.5

 

 No. 9 Iowa at Wisconsin (-3.5) (12 p.m., ESPN)

A win for Wisconsin puts the firmly in the thick of the race out west to get to the Big Ten Championship game. This will be a slugfest that will come down to which quarterback can make the most plays.

Pick Wisconsin -3.5

 

Texas at No. 16 Baylor (-2.5) (12 p.m., ABC) 

This game has all the makings of a high-scoring Big 12 shootout. I like Baylor to win a close game and I will pick them as long as the spread doesn’t go above 3 points.

Pick Baylor -2.5

 

Miami at No. 17 Pitt (-11.5) (12 p.m., ACC Network) 

Miami is coming off a season saving victory against N.C.State and there looks to be a lot of value with the Hurricanes getting 11.5 points. Pitt will win but take the points.

Pick Miami +11.5

 

No. 22 Iowa State (-7.5) at West Virginia (2 p.m., ESPN+)

This seems like a lot of points to give up as a road favorite. Iowa State looks like the team we all expected entering this season though and I am going with the hot hand in this game.

Pick Iowa State -7.5

 

No. 1 Georgia (-15.5) vs. Florida (3:30 p.m., CBS) 

Georgia’s defense has been scary good, and this is a rivalry where the last 6 years the winner has covered the spread.

Pick Georgis -15.5

 

Texas Tech at No. 4 Oklahoma (-19.5) (3:30 p.m., ABC)

Texas Tech has had a solid season except for two blowout losses. My first inclination is to just pick the Sooners and give the points but Oklahoma tends to make things difficult for themselves.

Pick Texas Tech +19.5

 

No. 10 Ole Miss (-0.5) at No. 18 Auburn (7 p.m., ESPN)

This game features a great quarterback matchup and it’s basically a pick’em game. I think Ole Miss has the better quarterback, and they will get a close win in a high scoring game.

Pick Ole Miss -0.5

 

No. 20 Penn State at No. 5 Ohio State (-17.5) (7:30 p.m., ABC)

This spread seems like to much on the surface, but when you dig a little deeper you will see why this spread exists.

Pick Ohio State -17.5

 

North Carolina at No. 11 Notre Dame (-3.5) (7:30 p.m., NBC) 

Hit this line now because I think it will trend up the close, we get to game time. The Irish can know run the ball a little bit and the quarterback play has improved.

Pick Notre Dame -3.5

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