VA
  • TGT on YouTube
  • About TGT
  • The TGT Team
  • How TGT rates
  • Responsible Gambling Advice
  • Contact Our Team
  • Writers Wanted
  • Content Disclaimer
  • Affiliate Disclosure
Contains commercial content
Billboard Left
Billboard Left
The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / The Case for Sergey Kovalev

The Case for Sergey Kovalev

How Alvarez can get Krushed
Publish Date: 11/02/2019
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis

On paper, even being on the back nine of his career, Sergey Kovalev should “Krush” little Canelo Alvarez. He is much bigger. Taller, great reach advantage. His, near-best in sport, jab alone should be very difficult to get past. That jab is very stiff, considered a quasi-power punch against other light-heavyweights, let alone a middleweight. Theoretically, Kovalev might be able to win his fight with Alvarez with that punch alone. Then there is the power. It’s true, Kovalev seems to have dropped some velocity on his fastball, but some of that is him approaching opponents more as a boxer—cautiously—lately. Kovalev remains one of the most potent punchers in boxing. At his best, he had all-time level power at 175. He didn’t possess any one punch as hard as Bob Foster’s left hook, but overall, Kovalev was heavier handed than Foster. That is against other light-heavyweights, not middleweights. Yes, Kovalev is vulnerable to the body, and was KO’d by Eleider Alvarez. But Canelo hasn’t stopped any top-notch opponent over 154 pounds. Alvarez is not likely to be a big puncher at 175. Less resilient or not, Kovalev will take a much better punch than Amir Khan. I can easily see Kovalev establishing the jab early and touching Alvarez enough to convince the Mexican hero and his team right away, that a grave mistake in opponent selection had been made.

On the other hand… Canelo Alvarez has matured into a very skilled, smart and well-rounded fighter. A boxer-puncher, that rare blend—aggressive counter-puncher. He also possesses some of the best defensive skills in the entire sport. Kovalev will land his jab, but the Russian will discover it won’t be easy to find Alvarez with the heaviest artillery. Alvarez is a terrific body puncher. There are a lot of questions though for Canelo going in. How will he handle 175? Forget Sergey Kovalev. How much will the weight affect Alvarez’s endurance? His quickness? Even at 160, Alvarez slows down during the middle rounds of fights. Will he carry his punch up with him? He is a good, but not huge puncher at 160. Can he dent a light-heavyweight? We don’t know. Alvarez thinks he does, but really, he doesn’t either. I suspect that no matter how well Alvarez acclimates to 175, he won’t be as good as he is at 160. A little slower, more stationary, less powerful. Alvarez does have an iron chin at 160, but Kovalev has shown that rare type of power that, against light-heavyweights, ignores chin quality. We’ve seen Jean Pascal in many tough fights handle punishment extremely well. Except with Kovalev. As soon as the “Krusher” started landing, Pascal was on rubber legs.

Another aspect of this match-up that has to be considered is that Canelo Alvarez is far too valuable, worth far too much money, to too many interested parties, to allow him to lose to Sergey Kovalev. What does this mean? It means that Alvarez will enter the ring with all his usual advantages. If the fight is within three rounds either way, Canelo will get the decision. Expect Kovalev to need nine rounds clean to get a draw. Kovalev is being paid a lot of money. Might it be, that, in order to get the fight, he had to agree not to win? Canelo himself wouldn’t even need to be aware of such an arrangement. That seems unlikely, but it’s boxing, and stranger things have happened. Let’s assume that once the bell rings, the fight is on the level, you can bet Team Alvarez has a good scouting department. They know things about Kovalev we never will. They speak to longtime sparring partners, people who have been in on his camps. They have sources none of us know about. Team Alvarez probably knows which brand, and exactly how much Vodka, Kovalev has bought weekly, for the last 9 months. It’s hard to believe they would make this fight, considering Alvarez’s value, if they weren’t pretty sure he wins it.

The other intangible, is PED use. Alvarez may have just eaten contaminated meat prior to the Golovkin rematch. But it’s also at least possible that he was cheating and got caught. He is a short guy, going up 15lbs in weight from his natural weight class. If he comes in pumped and shredded, it will be extremely difficult, objectively, not to be very suspicious. Could Canelo Alvarez win this fight without the aid of friendly officiating and/or medical science? Yes, he could, and it would be a major accomplishment. But is it likely that he does? On paper, even for Canelo Alvarez, even slightly past his prime, Sergey Kovalev should be an uphill battle. Winning possible, but far from certain.

I’m picking Sergey Kovalev. Either by a decision in which he beats Canelo widely, inflicting the worst punishment of Alvarez’s career, or by a surprise, embarrassing stoppage. I could see Kovalev getting him early, but more likely, the Russian busts him up with the jab during the first three rounds and puts him on the defensive, progressively, over the next three, setting up a mid-rounds stoppage. I think Sergey Kovalev is able to find another close to vintage performance in the cupboard. 80% of what Kovalev was 3 years ago should be enough to prove to Canelo Alvarez that he is not a light-heavyweight.

My pick is Sergey Kovalev, KO-8.

Billboard Left
Billboard Left
Read Also
Esteban de Jesus, Roberto Duran y AIDS (1972-89)
Many of us dream of celebrity sports fame, but only cruel individuals ...
Elmer Ray: The Humble Man of Hastings
"Men judge generally more by the eye than by the hand, for ...
SI Sportsbook Promo
Ranking the top 200 players in the NFL ahead of the 2021 season
This list isn’t based solely on performances from the 2020 NFL season. ...
The Army Boxer Who Knocked-Down Muhammad Ali (1960)
I had wanted to write a boxing story about Junebug Hudson for ...
TGTN Boxing Writers’ Predictions: Andy Ruiz vs. Anthony Joshua II
Andy Ruiz Jr. (33-1, 22 KOs) vs. Anthony Joshua (22-1, 21 KOs), ...
Canelo vs. Kovalev: A cherry pick or daring to be great
Ludicrous, absurd, and comical were just some of the adjectives floating through ...
TGTN Boxing Writers’ Predictions: Sergey Kovalev vs. Saul Alvarez
Whether you hate him or love him, every time Saul "Canelo" Alvarez, ...
True Grit: Sergey Kovalev comes back from the brink to knockout Anthony Yarde
This evening (Russian time), an evening still in the future in Britain ...
TGTN Boxing Writers’ Predictions: Saul Alvarez vs. Daniel Jacobs
While boxing fans have been hooting and hollering about the lack of ...
Sportsbook of the month
SI Sportsbook - Get your Free Bet now! Get your Free Bet now!
Top Brands
Top Bonuses
Stake.us
Stake.us
Stake.us Review
98/100
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Review
97/100
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Review
95/100
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Review
93/100
SweepSlots
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Review
93/100
Stake.us
Stake.us Bonus
5% Rakeback
T&Cs apply
9.8/10
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Bonus
30 SCs on 1st Purchase + 4.5 SCs FREE
T&Cs apply
9.7/10
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Bonus
Join GOLDEN2000 for 2,000 FREE coins
T&Cs apply
9.5/10
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Bonus
140k GC + 400 FC
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Bonus
1,000 Gold Coins Daily
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
Latest News
6 Takeaways as the Hoosiers roll on with a 66-60 victory over Rutgers
Trey Galloway once again made a difference, and ...
NCAA Basketball Florida vs Alabama: Odds, Tips and Predictions 02/08/23
📅 Date: Wendsday, February, 8 🕚 Game Time: ...
NBA 76ers vs Celtics: Odds, Tips and predictions 02/08/23
📅 Date: Wednesday, February, 08 🕚 Game Time: ...
Betting Tips
Our Latest YouTube Videos
Video: Indiana Basketball🏀 Weekly Show W/Steve Risley: IU/Rutgers preview and more
Indiana Basketball Weekly Show W/Steve Risley: IU/Rutgers preview and more
Video: Indiana Basketball🏀 Weekly W/Steve Risley: Indiana vs Purdue Recap
Indiana Basketball Weekly W/Steve Risley: Indiana vs Purdue Recap
Video: Indiana Basketball Weekly W/Steve Risley: Indiana vs Purdue Preview
Indiana Basketball Weekly W/Steve Risley: Indiana vs Purdue Preview
Sportsbook of the month
SI Sportsbook - Get your Free Bet now! Get your Free Bet now!
Find out what the legends have to say about sports this week....
Top Online Casinos
Top Casinos Bonuses
Stake.us
Stake.us
Stake.us Review
98/100
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Review
97/100
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Review
95/100
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Review
93/100
SweepSlots
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Review
93/100
Stake.us
Stake.us Bonus
5% Rakeback
T&Cs apply
9.8/10
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Bonus
30 SCs on 1st Purchase + 4.5 SCs FREE
T&Cs apply
9.7/10
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Bonus
Join GOLDEN2000 for 2,000 FREE coins
T&Cs apply
9.5/10
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Bonus
140k GC + 400 FC
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Bonus
1,000 Gold Coins Daily
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
Top Betting Sites
Top Betting Bonuses
SI Sportsbook
SI Sportsbook
SI Sportsbook Review
97/100
FanDuel
FanDuel
FanDuel Review
96/100
Bet365
Bet365
Bet365 Review
94/100
PointsBet
PointsBet
PointsBet Review
94/100
BetMGM
BetMGM
BetMGM Review
93/100
SI Sportsbook
SI Sportsbook Bonus
BET $20 GET $200 IN FREE BETS
T&Cs apply
9.7/10
First deposit only | 21+ & located in VA | Promo code as seen| A qualifying bet is $20 or more | Min odds of +120 or more | Free Bet Tokens credited after bet is settled and expire after 7 days | Free Bet stakes not included in winnings | Please Gamble Responsibly - Gambling Problem? VA: CALL 1-888-532-3500 | Full T&C apply
FanDuel
FanDuel Bonus
No Sweat First Bet up to $3,000
T&Cs apply
9.6/10
Bet365
Bet365 Bonus
Bet $1, Get $200
T&Cs apply
9.4/10
BetMGM
BetMGM Bonus
100% up to $1000
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
DraftKings
DraftKings Bonus
20% up to $1000
T&Cs apply
9.2/10
Our Team
Mike GoodpasterAuthor IconJosh SchwartzSamuel TeetsSimon Briffa
+8
Mike Goodpaster
Mike Goodpaster
Chief Editor
Author Icon
Christopher Carlson
Content Writer
Josh Schwartz
Josh Schwartz
Editor
Samuel Teets
Samuel Teets
US Sports Veteran
Simon Briffa
Simon Briffa
Sports Editor
Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Editor
Chris Benedict
Chris Benedict
Editor
Author Icon
Malik Zorrok
Author
Author Icon
Daniel Kornhauser
Author
John Raspanti
John Raspanti
Author
Author Icon
Buddy Gibbs
Author
Brian Coburn
Brian Coburn
Author
Peter Bonahoom
Peter Bonahoom
Author
Find out what the legends have to say about sports this week....

If you enjoy hearing from the legends of pro sports, then be sure to tune into “The Grueling Truth” sports shows, “Where the legends speak”

Contact us: [email protected]

Players must be 21 years of age or older or reach the minimum age for gambling in their respective state and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: (a) the Council on Compulsive Gambling of New Jersey at 1-800-Gambler or www.800gambler.org; or (b) Gamblers Anonymous at 855-2-CALL-GA or www.gamblersanonymous.org.

This site is using Cloudflare and adheres to the Google Safe Browsing Program. We adapted Google's Privacy Guidelines to keep your data safe at all times.

sdfgfdgcsdfgfdgcww
Move to Top
Close
Stake.us Exclusive Bonus
5% Rakeback
Promo Code
Copy
Visit Site
T&Cs apply, 21+
Payment Methods
Bitcoin
Litecoin
Ethereum
Dogecoin
Highlights
  • Social casino loved by Drake!
  • Play Plinko, Hilo, Crash and more!
  • Get Stake Cash bonuses every day!
Stake Originals
Dice
Crash
Plinko
Mines
×
Your Bonus Code:
The bonus offer of was already opened in an additional window. If not, you can open it also by clicking the following link:
Visit Site