The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / TGTN Boxing Writers’ Predictions: Canelo Alvarez vs Gennady Golovkin

TGTN Boxing Writers’ Predictions: Canelo Alvarez vs Gennady Golovkin

TGTN and others give their take
Maybe the best fight of a great year

Betting odds have this a close one and rightfully so. Few fights of this magnitude look this competitive on paper. Not many of them are contested for a lineal crown either.

But here we are on fight day, biting our collective nails in anticipation, waiting for the outcome of the most significant middleweight bout in years. Who will take it? Only the fight itself will tell us, but here is what a few loyal to the sport have to say.

John Einreinhofer – The Grueling Truth

The best fight that can be made in boxing: the real lineal champ against the longtime number one contender who has been denied his shot. Neither man has been down. Canelo is faster, younger and is the better defender. Golovkin hits harder and has the amateur pedigree. Canelo has faced better opposition. Jacobs, arguably Golovkin’s toughest comp could’ve gotten the decision against him. Canelo has faced three of the
trickiest fighters in boxing: Mayweather, Lara, and Trout and won two of three. I don’t blame Golovkin, but the criticism of the ability of his opposition is warranted. I see Canelo being too quick and elusive for a GGG who tries to box like he did against Lemiuex and Jacobs. GGG’s best chance is the left hook to the body, but I see Canelo avoiding it and landing enough himself for a decision win or late stoppage. Intangible wise, I like Canelo sticking with the same trainers and promoter, and blowing off the WBC–that is fortitude. On the other hand, Golovkin appeared out of shape 30 days before fight night.


Jeremiah Preisser – The Grueling Truth

Gennady Golovkin has been waiting on the schoolyard for years now trying to get a crack at the big one, only to find that the biggest kids on the block didn’t want to play…until now. Alvarez, the middleweight champion of the world, has elected to defend his crown against the Kazakh star in what looks, at least on paper, to be a sizzling contest.

Will Alvarez’s quick hands, world class counter-punching ability, quality upper-body movement and combination punching ward off the Soviet-styled technical aggression of Golovkin. We will know come fight night, but this writer’s guess is that “GGG’s” jab, power and accuracy will ultimately give us an answer to this equation: another loss for Golden Boy’s new Golden Boy. Golovkin by TKO in 9.

Golovkin KO

Mike Goodpaster – The Grueling Truth

Finally, after the “fight” we saw a couple of weeks ago, it is time for a real fight in every sense of the word. I have plenty of concerns relating to Triple-G in this fight. Has father time caught up? Has he lost the proverbial eye of the tiger? Can Golovkin handle the biggest spotlight he has ever been under? For Alvarez can he move his feet well enough that he can give angles and make Golovkin work a little to find him. Standing in front of Golovkin will get Canelo knocked out. The other big question to me will be can Canelo withstand Golovkin’s power? So many questions that will be answered Saturday night, and this is why this fight is so huge to boxing fans, nobody really knows what will happen.

Two years ago this fight would be a no-brainer to me. Now not so much. I think in the end Alvarez’s one weakness, which is his footwork, will be his down fall. I look for an even fight through the first half with Canelo doing damage to Golovkin’s body. But in the end Golovkin is too strong and stops Canelo in Round 11.

Golovkin KO

Paul Cupitt – The Grueling Truth

Canelo’s two big weapons are his speed and his counter punching but Golovkin has tools to disarm these. His jab will nullify both Canelo’s speed and his combinations and the power Golovklin possesses will make Canelo reluctant to stay in the pocket where he will need to be to counter GGG. Canelo doesn’t get enough credit for his defence and his defence will be what gets him through the 12 rounds. If he can set up his attacks the body early on he has a chance of taking Golovkin out late but I think Golovkin will offset the speed advantage early with his jab, back Canelo up and dish out punishment for the 12 rounds on and win a wide decision.

Golovkin Decision

Anthony Cocks –

I expect Canelo will start fast and build an early lead before Triple G chips away at his resolve and takes over the flow of the fight by the mid-rounds. By the 9th the Kazakh bomber will be in full control, systematically breaking down the Mexican matinee idol with every shot. Look for Golovkin to stop an exhausted Alvarez in the 11th round of a fight reminiscent of Margarito-Cotto 1.

Golovkin KO

Eric Duran – 60 Minutes on Boxing/Under Dawgs Boxing

The BIGGG DRAMA SHOW has finally arrived and there is no better weekend than on Mexican Independence Day for Mexico’s favorite son, Canelo Alvarez, to defend its heritage from the Kazakhstan boogeyman, Gennady Golovkin.

Some say it’s long overdue, others say it’s perfect timing. History tells us we’re in for something special come Saturday night under the bright lights of Las Vegas.

Will it be Hagler-Hearns, a crazed warfare that will forever be a historical focus point when analyzing future fights. Will it be De La Hoya-Trinidad, a fight for the ages but didn’t quite live up to the hype. Surely it will be everything that Mayweather-Pacquiao wasn’t. Who knows. At this point, who cares, boxing is finally getting the event it’s been yearning for.

But here’s why I think it will be greater than all the above-mentioned fights and why we could be in for a Castillo-Corrales replay.

Both fighters are equipped with stellar chins. Both fighters are equipped with bulldozers in both hands. And both fighters have to subconsciously know what’s at stake for their respected careers going forward after this fight. But for one fighter in particular, a loss is more costly than the other and that’s why I believe it will drive him to victory. That fighter is GGG.

With a loss, GGG is done, like well-done steak. The aura, the storyline, the myth, all gone. There isn’t another Canelo waiting for GGG after this. No one will care how many B and C level middleweights he beats after Canelo if he doesn’t knock Canelo out. This is do or die for him, his crowning moment, he has to win for his legacy and his future. His whole career has been built up for this exact moment and I believe we’re going to see a Golovkin we’ve never seen before.

I believe Golovkin will walk Canelo down in a hurricane like frenzy. By the end of round 4, Canelo will be beaten up, overwhelmed and succumb to GGG before the midpoint of the fight.

Golovkin KO

 Golovkin – 5, Alvarez -1

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