VA
  • TGT on YouTube
  • About TGT
  • The TGT Team
  • How TGT rates
  • Responsible Gambling Advice
  • Contact Our Team
  • Writers Wanted
  • Content Disclaimer
  • Affiliate Disclosure
Contains commercial content
Billboard Left
Billboard Left
The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Sergey Kovalev vs. Canelo Alvarez: Calculated risk

Sergey Kovalev vs. Canelo Alvarez: Calculated risk

Fight night preview
Publish Date: 11/02/2019
Fact checked by: Mike Goodpaster

This Saturday night Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez challenges Sergey ‘The Krusher’ Kovalev from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, streaming live on DAZN. Is Alvarez catching Sergey Kovalev at the perfect time late in his career or will size matter? The fundamentals generally standout in fights involving weight jumps so the jab will be need for both men.

Out of the 11 middleweight champions to attempt a move up to light heavyweight and grab a belt, only 6 were able to accomplish the feat. Canelo has fought above the 160-mark twice against mediocre at best opposition in Rocky Fielding late 2018 and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in May 2017. This high-risk/high-reward move by Canelo could ultimately result in Alvarez being done at 160, something DAZN’s head honcho John Skipper couldn’t be thrilled with. Of course Canelo could be slow and stiff at 175 and may just be jumping weight classes for this one legacy fight. Time will tell of course and lucky for us fans will get to find out shortly.

Sergey Kovalev’s run as a top-shelf light heavyweight has been impressive to say the least. Facing names such as Bernard Hopkins, Jean Pascal, and Andre Ward pretty much seals his fate as a Hall of Famer. Obviously Kovalev’s outside of the ring issues could play a part moving forward of how the public views him.

When it comes to inside that 20 x 20 ring the writing seems to be the wall of the decline for Kovalev. At this later stage of a rock solid career can Kov summon the strength mentally and physically? More than a tip of a cap if Sergey can upend Canelo, it will be remembered for a long time. Finally Kovalev is getting a huge payday after taking short money in his biggest fights.

It’s no secret that Kovalev’s jab is hands down the most important key to this fight. Sergey’s stiff jab has plenty of speed and funk on it to help keep Canelo away from his midsection. It’s crazy to think that a helluva boxer aptly named ‘The Krusher’ is seen as a shot fighter if the action takes place at close range now.

Andre Ward’s body punching brigade, especially in their second meeting, exploited a huge weakness in the Russian native. The elephant in the room is some of those body shots strayed below the belt. Because this is in Las Vegas and this is the sport of boxing, it should come to no surprise that the same referee from that fight Russell Mora, will be in charge of the action on Saturday.

Another recent fighter to give Kovalev hell was Eleider Alvarez in their first meeting in August 2018. It should be noted although Kov was stopped by Alvarez, but he produced one of his best performances in the rematch. Kovalev looked fairly good back in late August until an inexperienced Anthony Yarde had him on the verge of a stoppage.

The connection between Sergey Kovalev and Buddy McGirt has been just what the doctor ordered, in the ring anyway. Buddy has made it known they won’t be looking to be just the bigger guy and plan on fighting smart.

Beyond a Rocky Fielding fight, Canelo went from Gennadiy Golovkin back to back and unified with Daniel Jacobs on Cinco De Mayo weekend. Canelo’s chin and stamina, the latter an issue for him in his past, held up quite nicely versus those big punchers. That said it’s difficult to judge how Alvarez will take Kovalev’s power all the way up to 175.

Say what you want about Canelo’s failed PED test and how the judges favor him clear as day, it’s undeniable the last several years Canelo’s skills have been sharpened. Defensive head movement and countering ability along with a dedication to body punching has made Canelo a more complete boxer. We still can’t say for certain that Canelo can cut off the ring because he hasn’t faced a Floyd Mayweather or Erislandy Lara style since.

Regardless of how we think Kovalev is on the down slope spirit wise, this jump to 175 is still pretty freaking cool and definitely a calculated risk. Sure, Kov won’t get much credit if he beats Canelo, he will have a healthy bank account and receive a significant profile boost.

This boxing podcasting junky thinks Kovalev’s jab and subtle movement will get him ahead out of the gates. Maybe not on all 3 official scorecards but you know what’s being implied. After a few rounds the intriguing parts of the matchup on paper will take shape. Kovalev is a larger human than Canelo, standing a full 4 inches taller but surprisingly Sergey has only a 2 inch reach overall.

Once Canelo can catchup to the jab of Kovalev, he will start to time it as he inches his way closer and closer to attacking the body. Don’t be shocked to see a mobile Canelo looking to defend and counter off the ropes as he did for a large portion in the first fight with Golovkin. At the end of the day as long as Canelo isn’t badly hurt he should be able to win on the cards for obvious reason, whether it plays out that way in the ring is another story. Canelo’s versatility will be the difference maker and the main reason he gets the nod on Saturday.

My Official Prediction is Canelo Alvarez by Majority Decision. 

Side Note: Don’t forget to DVR Berchelt vs. Sosa on ESPN and Castano vs. Omotoso on FS1.

 

Written by Chris Carlson Host/Producer of The Rope A Dope Radio Podcast Available at www.blogtalkradio.com/ropeadoperadio & TheGruelingTruth.Com. Follow on Twitter @RopeADopeRadio

Billboard Left
Billboard Left
Read Also
Esteban de Jesus, Roberto Duran y AIDS (1972-89)
Many of us dream of celebrity sports fame, but only cruel individuals ...
State Of The League: San Francisco 49ers
Training camp and the NFL preseason are here! We are going over ...
SI Sportsbook Promo
State Of The League: Tennessee Titans
Training camp and the NFL preseason are here! We are going over ...
State Of The League: Houston Texans
Training camp and the NFL preseason are here! We are going over ...
State Of The League: Detroit Lions
The NFL Draft and free agency is in our rearview mirrors. There ...
Ranking the top 150 players in the 2021 NFL Draft
  Rank Prospect Position College 1 Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson 2 Ja'Marr ...
Daniel K’s 2021 NFL Draft Position Rankings/Draft Grades
  Round Grade Big Board Rank Position Rank Player Name Position College ...
Lady Tyger’s Tale: How Marian Trimiar Mauled the Boxing Establishment of the 1970s and 80s
To Feed the Ambition in Your Heart is Like Carrying a Tiger ...
Where Did You Go, Smokin’ Joe? To Starrcade and WrestleMania By Way of Puerto Rico
Starrcade ’84: The Million Dollar Challenge ‘Nature Boy’ Ric Flair, that “stylin’ ...
The Army Boxer Who Knocked-Down Muhammad Ali (1960)
I had wanted to write a boxing story about Junebug Hudson for ...
Sportsbook of the month
SI Sportsbook - Get your Free Bet now! Get your Free Bet now!
Top Brands
Top Bonuses
Stake.us
Stake.us
Stake.us Review
98/100
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Review
97/100
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Review
95/100
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Review
93/100
SweepSlots
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Review
93/100
Stake.us
Stake.us Bonus
5% Rakeback
T&Cs apply
9.8/10
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Bonus
30 SCs on 1st Purchase + 4.5 SCs FREE
T&Cs apply
9.7/10
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Bonus
Join GOLDEN2000 for 2,000 FREE coins
T&Cs apply
9.5/10
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Bonus
140k GC + 400 FC
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Bonus
1,000 Gold Coins Daily
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
Latest News
Top15 Teams in College Basketball History
The Wolfpack became the first team since 1965-66 ...
Top 10 Hitters of the 1990s
Mike Piazza did not get to play for ...
Betting Tips
Our Latest YouTube Videos
Video: Froggy Talkin Sports W/ Ryan & Joe
Froggy Talkin Sports W/ Ryan & Joe
Video: NFL🏈 Prediction Show: Is the NFL Rigged? Conference Championship review
NFL Prediction Show: Is the NFL Rigged? Conference Championship review
Video: AFC 🏈Championship Game Preview: Bengals vs Chiefs
AFC Championship Game Preview: Bengals vs Chiefs
Sportsbook of the month
SI Sportsbook - Get your Free Bet now! Get your Free Bet now!
Find out what the legends have to say about sports this week....
Top Online Casinos
Top Casinos Bonuses
Stake.us
Stake.us
Stake.us Review
98/100
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Review
97/100
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Review
95/100
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Review
93/100
SweepSlots
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Review
93/100
Stake.us
Stake.us Bonus
5% Rakeback
T&Cs apply
9.8/10
Wow Vegas
Wow Vegas Bonus
30 SCs on 1st Purchase + 4.5 SCs FREE
T&Cs apply
9.7/10
Golden Hearts Games
Golden Hearts Games Bonus
Join GOLDEN2000 for 2,000 FREE coins
T&Cs apply
9.5/10
Fortune Coins
Fortune Coins Bonus
140k GC + 400 FC
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
SweepSlots
SweepSlots Bonus
1,000 Gold Coins Daily
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
Top Betting Sites
Top Betting Bonuses
SI Sportsbook
SI Sportsbook
SI Sportsbook Review
97/100
FanDuel
FanDuel
FanDuel Review
96/100
Bet365
Bet365
Bet365 Review
94/100
PointsBet
PointsBet
PointsBet Review
94/100
BetMGM
BetMGM
BetMGM Review
93/100
SI Sportsbook
SI Sportsbook Bonus
BET $20 GET $200 IN FREE BETS
T&Cs apply
9.7/10
First deposit only | 21+ & located in VA | Promo code as seen| A qualifying bet is $20 or more | Min odds of +120 or more | Free Bet Tokens credited after bet is settled and expire after 7 days | Free Bet stakes not included in winnings | Please Gamble Responsibly - Gambling Problem? VA: CALL 1-888-532-3500 | Full T&C apply
FanDuel
FanDuel Bonus
No Sweat First Bet up to $3,000
T&Cs apply
9.6/10
Bet365
Bet365 Bonus
Bet $1, Get $200
T&Cs apply
9.4/10
BetMGM
BetMGM Bonus
100% up to $1000
T&Cs apply
9.3/10
DraftKings
DraftKings Bonus
20% up to $1000
T&Cs apply
9.2/10
Our Team
Mike GoodpasterAuthor IconJosh SchwartzSamuel TeetsMark Lewis
+8
Mike Goodpaster
Mike Goodpaster
Chief Editor
Author Icon
Christopher Carlson
Content Writer
Josh Schwartz
Josh Schwartz
Editor
Samuel Teets
Samuel Teets
US Sports Veteran
Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Editor
Simon Briffa
Simon Briffa
Sports Editor
Chris Benedict
Chris Benedict
Editor
Author Icon
Malik Zorrok
Author
Author Icon
Daniel Kornhauser
Author
John Raspanti
John Raspanti
Author
Author Icon
Buddy Gibbs
Author
Brian Coburn
Brian Coburn
Author
Peter Bonahoom
Peter Bonahoom
Author
Find out what the legends have to say about sports this week....

If you enjoy hearing from the legends of pro sports, then be sure to tune into “The Grueling Truth” sports shows, “Where the legends speak”

Contact us: [email protected]

Players must be 21 years of age or older or reach the minimum age for gambling in their respective state and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: (a) the Council on Compulsive Gambling of New Jersey at 1-800-Gambler or www.800gambler.org; or (b) Gamblers Anonymous at 855-2-CALL-GA or www.gamblersanonymous.org.

This site is using Cloudflare and adheres to the Google Safe Browsing Program. We adapted Google's Privacy Guidelines to keep your data safe at all times.

sdfgfdgcsdfgfdgcww
Move to Top
Close
Stake.us Exclusive Bonus
5% Rakeback
Promo Code
Copy
Visit Site
T&Cs apply, 21+
Payment Methods
Bitcoin
Litecoin
Ethereum
Dogecoin
Highlights
  • Social casino loved by Drake!
  • Play Plinko, Hilo, Crash and more!
  • Get Stake Cash bonuses every day!
Stake Originals
Dice
Crash
Plinko
Mines
×
Your Bonus Code:
The bonus offer of was already opened in an additional window. If not, you can open it also by clicking the following link:
Visit Site