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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Can a 40-year-old Gennadiy Golovkin defeat Canelo Alvarez?

Can a 40-year-old Gennadiy Golovkin defeat Canelo Alvarez?

Publish Date: 09/14/2022
Fact checked by: Mike Goodpaster
SAITAMA, JAPAN - APRIL 09: Gennady Golovkin of Kazakhstan celebrate after defeating Ryota Murata of Japan during their IBF & WBA Middleweight title bout on April 09, 2022 in Saitama, Japan. (Photo by Toru Hanai/Getty Images)

Can a 40-year-old Gennadiy Golovkin defeat Canelo Alvarez?

The answer is yes, though it’s unlikely.  Check out our top boxing odds!

Many feel Golovkin has already defeated Alvarez.

The date was September 16, 2017.

On that night, Alvarez started fast. Golovkin did not. He didn’t find himself until near the end of the third round. Alvarez found success to the body, while Golovkin stuck out his jab consistently.

Golovkin stalked and looked to rock in the middle rounds. Both fighters landed solid blows in round six.

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Alvarez was tired but found his second wind. A big right hand shook Golovkin. He seemed to sense he was losing. In round 11, Alvarez scored with a sharp lead right and left hook to the belly. Golovkin managed to land a solid hook of his own.

Both fighters dug down deep in round 12. Alvarez snapped Golokin’s head back with an uppercut. A combination also scored. Golovkin fought back.

This writer had Golovkin winning by a 115-113 tally. Judge Don Trella scored the fight 114-114, a draw, while Dave Moretti had it 115-113. Adalaide Byrd saw Alvarez winning by a 118-110 margin.

Unfathomable.

Fight two, delayed by steroids that somehow got into Alvarez’s system – went down 12 months after the first fight. An aggravated Alvarez surprised many by taking the fight to Golovkin, and the former champion didn’t like it.

The sequel took shape in round two. Alvarez flashed fast hands while Golovkin jabbed. He let a combination go in the next stanza. Alvarez pushed Golovkin back – working the body.

Both fighters landed heavy shots in round five. Golovkin caught Alvarez with a wide right in round six. Alvarez continued to work the body. Golovkin was feeling the blows and getting beat to the punch.

Golovkin began a rally in round eight. He found Alvarez with two hard right hands. In round nine, Alvarez did well – landing a wicked combination that rattled Golovkin.

The last three rounds were intensely fought – and hard to judge. Alvarez appeared to have the edge.

Two ringside judges had Alvarez winning by a couple of points. The third judged the fight a draw. Check out our top boxing betting strategies.

Controversy.

Again.

On to the third fight this Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

Golovkin’s trainer Johnathan Banks has a plan.

“I would like Triple G to be able to display more than one skill,” Banks told the New York Daily News last week, “He knows he has the punching power. I want the people to see his movement, his offense – his quickness.

“He’s a complete fighter, and I’m trying to wake that guy up. In the amateurs and the Olympics, he was boxing circles around guys. That’s what ‘G’ did the first time. He just boxed him.”

The first time was five years ago. The question is can he “box” Alvarez and win?

Golovkin has slowed down quite a bit in those 60 months. He stopped Ryota Murata in his last fight but took quite a bit of punishment.

His power remains.

Alvarez is a younger, quicker, and more active fighter.

The oddsmakers have him listed as a 4-1 favorite.

Odds for Canelo/Golovkin

Canelo vs Golovkin

Method of victory Canelo Alvarez GGG
Outright -490 +370
Win by KO, TKO or DQ +195 +850
Win by decision -105 +650
Draw +1600 +1600

Golovkin will need to turn back the clock to 2012 to win.

“This fight just seems a few years too late for him to have a real chance of winning,” said former world champion Carl Frampton to the Belfast Telegraph a few days ago.

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