


On 3 March, San Antonio Spurs (44-17) face Philadelphia 76ers (33-28) in a game that can be decided by shot-making swings. If either team gets clean looks early, the matchup can swing from tight to run-trading in a hurry.
When the last-five window is tight, the game often hinges on the two possessions you cannot give away. If you are tracking spread/total, NBA spreads and totals has the live updates.
Tip-off is 8:00 pm US/Eastern at Xfinity Mobile Arena, and the listed broadcast is NBC/Peacock. That is usually where defensive attention and rebounding show up immediately.
San Antonio Spurs open as the road favourite by 7.5 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. When a team lays points away, the clean path is usually low turnovers. The total is posted at a mid-range total of 231.5. From the opener, the line has shifted 1.5 points toward San Antonio Spurs, which can hint at early support for the favourite.
Note: The odds table above updates dynamically. The written odds breakdown reflects the numbers at the moment it was generated, so the table and text can be different if the market moves.
Small edge toward San Antonio Spurs ATS. The split we are leaning on is over the full season, and the cover gap is about 10% between the teams.
| ATS stat | San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Season ATS record (W-L-P) | 32-26-2 | 32-27-1 |
| Season ATS | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 ATS record | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 5 ATS | 40% | 60% |
| Head-to-head ATS record | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Head-to-head ATS | – | – |
Slight lean to the Under at 231.5. Over the full season, the combined tendency has been landing under more often than not, which is why Under is the better look on this number.
| Over/Under stat | San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Season Over/Under record | 24-36 | 31-29 |
| Season Over | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 Over/Under record | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Last 5 Over | 40% | 80% |
| Head-to-head Over/Under record | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Head-to-head Over | – | – |
To this point this season, there has been just one meeting between Spurs and 76ers, and it saw a 133-123 win for 76ers.
| Meetings This Season | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Last Meeting Score | 133-123 | |
| Last Meeting Winner | 76ers | |
| Last Meeting Margin | 10 | |
| Spurs Vs 76ers Record | 1 – 0 | |
| Spurs Vs 76ers Total Points | 240.4 – 240.4 | |
The last 10 games give a steadier read than a single hot night because the numbers capture both scoring and resistance. San Antonio Spurs have been scoring more per game in the last 10. Philadelphia 76ers have been allowing more points per game in that same span. Even if the headline rows look similar, small edges on both ends can add up, and San Antonio Spurs have won about 125% more often than Philadelphia 76ers across the last 10. Net points per game equals points per game minus points allowed per game.
| Recent form (Last 10) | San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 | 4-6 |
| Win rate | 90% | 40% |
| Points per game | 123.4 | 114.1 |
| Points allowed per game | 111.9 | 119.1 |
| Net points per game | +11.5 | -5 |
| Point differential (Last 10 total) | +115 | -50 |
| Field goal % | 49.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT % | 37.7% | 34.1% |
Five games can swing quickly, so the safest read is to look for a clear gap in results or average margin. San Antonio Spurs are 4-1, and Philadelphia 76ers are 3-2. San Antonio Spurs have won about 33% more often than Philadelphia 76ers in the last five.
| Momentum form (Last 5) | San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (Last 5) | 4 | 3 |
| Losses (Last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Win rate (Last 5) | 80% | 60% |
| Average margin (Last 5) | +22 | +24 |
San Antonio Spurs has the cleaner injury setup entering this matchup, and that usually makes the rotation easier to trust from the opening tip. Philadelphia 76ers carries more availability questions, which can change how the bench is used and how the minutes are spread out.
The spot also looks a little cleaner for Philadelphia 76ers, whether that edge comes from rest, workload, or travel. If San Antonio Spurs is the team dealing with the tighter turnaround, heavier mileage, or busier recent stretch, that can show up in pace, legs, and late-game execution.
Spurs
76ers
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