Memphis Grizzlies (23-36) head to Minnesota Timberwolves (38-23) on 3 March, and the schedule context offers extra texture. In the last week, Minnesota Timberwolves have played 2 games and Memphis Grizzlies have played 3, which can show up in pace and legs.
If one side can win the middle quarters, that is usually enough to bring the game home. For spread/total updates later, use
NBA line tracker.
Tip-off is 7:00 pm US/Central at Target Center, and the listed broadcast is FDSN. The first quarter often tells you whether this is a run-trading night or a half-court game.
The market has Minnesota Timberwolves listed as 14.5-point favourites at Target Center. A spread this wide often reflects that the favourite’s baseline is being trusted more than the opponent’s. The total opens at an upper-end total of 236.5, hinting at a game where possessions and scoring might run a bit higher. The total has climbed 3 from the opener, which can hint at a slightly faster scoring expectation.
Money Line+575-800
Spread
-13.5
+100
14.5
-105
Over/Under
-108
-110
Note: The odds table above updates dynamically. The written odds breakdown reflects the numbers at the moment it was generated, so the table and text can be different if the market moves.
Our Against the Spread Choice is Memphis Grizzlies
Slight lean to Memphis Grizzlies ATS. The clean read is over the full season, where they have covered about 10% more often than the other side.
ATS stat
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
Season ATS record (W-L-P)
27-32-0
26-35-0
Season ATS
50%
40%
Last 5 ATS record
2-3-0
1-4-0
Last 5 ATS
40%
20%
Head-to-head ATS record
2-1-0
1-2-0
Head-to-head ATS
67%
33%
Our Over/Under Choice is Pass
Pass on the Over/Under. The combined reads are close enough that the posted number matters more than the trends at 236.5. Last meeting finished 108-106.
Over/Under stat
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
Season Over/Under record
28-31
30-31
Season Over
50%
50%
Last 5 Over/Under record
3-2-0
2-3-0
Last 5 Over
60%
40%
Head-to-head Over/Under record
2-1-0
2-1-0
Head-to-head Over
67%
67%
NBA Head-To-Head History: Key Stats
Grizzlies and Timberwolves have to this point played 3 meetings this season, which sets the tone before you focus on the latest result. Grizzlies has claimed the majority of the season meetings (2 – 1), giving them the edge in win count so far. In the previous matchup, Grizzlies took it 108-106 by 2, enough to carve out a bit of space. The season series edge sits with Grizzlies, who has won more of these matchups this year.
Meetings This Season
3
Last Meeting Score
108-106
Last Meeting Winner
Grizzlies
Last Meeting Margin
2
Grizzlies Vs Timberwolves Record
2 – 1
Grizzlies Vs Timberwolves Total Points
243.2 – 243.2
Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Recent Form & Momentum
Records tell you what happened, but points for and points against show how it has been happening. Scoring output has been about even between the two teams in the last 10. Memphis Grizzlies have been allowing more points per game in that same span. Minnesota Timberwolves have won about 133% more often than Memphis Grizzlies across the last 10. That is the cleanest explanation for who has played better over the last 10. Net points per game is calculated as points per game minus points allowed per game.
Recent form (Last 10)
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
Record
3-7
7-3
Win rate
30%
70%
Points per game
117.7
117.5
Points allowed per game
121
114.8
Net points per game
-3.3
+2.7
Point differential (Last 10 total)
-33
+27
Field goal %
48.9%
49.5%
3PT %
37.8%
36.7%
The last five games can be noisy, so look for a clear separator rather than a vibe. Memphis Grizzlies are 2-3 and Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-1. Minnesota Timberwolves have won about 100% more often than Memphis Grizzlies in the last five.
Momentum form (Last 5)
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
Wins (Last 5)
2
4
Losses (Last 5)
3
1
Win rate (Last 5)
40%
80%
Average margin (Last 5)
-8
+2
Injury List Memphis Grizzlies & Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves comes in with the cleaner injury picture, which matters because fewer absences usually mean a steadier rotation and fewer late adjustments. Memphis Grizzlies has more uncertainty around availability, so this game may ask more from its depth and secondary pieces.
The spot also looks a little cleaner for Minnesota Timberwolves, whether that edge comes from rest, workload, or travel. If Memphis Grizzlies is the team dealing with the tighter turnaround, heavier mileage, or busier recent stretch, that can show up in pace, legs, and late-game execution.
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