Dallas Mavericks (23-45) meet New Orleans Pelicans (22-46) on 16 March in a spot that often tightens into a possession game. Over the last five, totals have gone 2-3-0 for Dallas Mavericks and 3-2-0 for New Orleans Pelicans, which often reflects pace and defense.
If one side can win the middle quarters, that is usually enough to bring the game home. For live odds updates,
NBA spreads and totals
keeps it current.
It all happens at Smoothie King Center, with tip-off at 7:00 pm US/Central and KFAA listed for the broadcast. That usually means you get a cleaner read on matchups and coaching choices.
Latest Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans Odds – Moneylines, Spreads & Over/Unders
With 8.5 points to lay, New Orleans Pelicans start as the strong favourite at Smoothie King Center. That kind of spread usually matches a market view that one side has the steadier matchup edges. The total posts at an elevated total of 241, pointing to a game where possessions and scoring could come in waves. The total has moved down 5.5 from the opener, a move that can indicate toward an Under look. Since open, the spread has shifted by 1 point, a move that can point at early interest on Dallas Mavericks.
Money Line+280-350
Spread
-8.5
-105
9.0
-110
Over/Under
-108
-110
Note: The odds table above updates dynamically. The written odds breakdown reflects the numbers at the moment it was generated, so the table and text can be different if the market moves.
Our Against the Spread Choice is New Orleans Pelicans
We like New Orleans Pelicans ATS. We are basing it on over the last five games, where Dallas Mavericks are 40% and New Orleans Pelicans are 100%. Recent form does not fight it.
ATS stat
Dallas Mavericks
New Orleans Pelicans
Season ATS record (W-L-P)
30-38-0
39-29-0
Season ATS
40%
60%
Last 5 ATS record
2-3-0
5-0-0
Last 5 ATS
40%
100%
Head-to-head ATS record
0-3-0
3-0-0
Head-to-head ATS
0%
100%
Our Over/Under Choice is Under
Small edge toward the Under at 241. Over the full season, games have been finishing under more often than the other side, which is the cleanest way to frame this total.
Over/Under stat
Dallas Mavericks
New Orleans Pelicans
Season Over/Under record
30-38
35-33
Season Over
40%
50%
Last 5 Over/Under record
2-3-0
3-2-0
Last 5 Over
40%
60%
Head-to-head Over/Under record
0-3-0
0-3-0
Head-to-head Over
0%
0%
NBA Head-To-Head History: Key Stats
The Mavericks and Pelicans have so far squared off 3 times this season, and that sample gives a baseline for what’s carried over in the matchup. Pelicans has claimed the majority of the season meetings (1 – 2), giving them the edge in win count so far. Most recently, the final was 137-136 and Mavericks won by 1, a margin that created some daylight. Pelicans has been the more successful side in this season series, with the record reflecting it.
Meetings This Season
3
Last Meeting Score
137-136
Last Meeting Winner
Mavericks
Last Meeting Margin
1
Mavericks Vs Pelicans Record
1 – 2
Mavericks Vs Pelicans Total Points
230.4 – 230.4
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans: Recent Form & Momentum
The record is the headline, but the shape sits in the points. New Orleans Pelicans have been scoring more per game in the last 10. Points allowed has been about even between the two teams in the last 10. New Orleans Pelicans have won about 200% more often than Dallas Mavericks across the last 10. That is why New Orleans Pelicans come out as the better last 10 form team. Net points per game is calculated as points per game minus points allowed per game.
Recent form (Last 10)
Dallas Mavericks
New Orleans Pelicans
Record
2-8
6-4
Win rate
20%
60%
Points per game
105.5
118.9
Points allowed per game
119.2
115.6
Net points per game
-13.7
+3.3
Point differential (Last 10 total)
-137
+33
Field goal %
43.8%
47%
3PT %
33%
35%
Momentum is often less about the headline record and more about how comfortable the minutes have looked. Dallas Mavericks have played to -57 on average, and New Orleans Pelicans are at +37. New Orleans Pelicans have won about 50% more often than Dallas Mavericks in the last five.
Momentum form (Last 5)
Dallas Mavericks
New Orleans Pelicans
Wins (Last 5)
2
3
Losses (Last 5)
3
2
Win rate (Last 5)
40%
60%
Average margin (Last 5)
-57
+37
Injury List Dallas Mavericks & New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans comes in with the cleaner injury picture, which matters because fewer absences usually mean a steadier rotation and fewer late adjustments. Dallas Mavericks has more uncertainty around availability, so this game may ask more from its depth and secondary pieces.
The spot also looks a little cleaner for New Orleans Pelicans, whether that edge comes from rest, workload, or travel. If Dallas Mavericks is the team dealing with the tighter turnaround, heavier mileage, or busier recent stretch, that can show up in pace, legs, and late-game execution.
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