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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks Predictions & Odds 02 28 2026

Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs Predictions & Odds 03 14 2026

Publish Date: 03/13/2026
National Basketball Association
Hornets
Away
14/03/2026
3:30pm
Spurs
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14 March sets up Charlotte Hornets (34-34) vs San Antonio Spurs (49-18), and the bench minutes may matter more than usual. Charlotte Hornets list 2 out and 0 questionable, while San Antonio Spurs show 2 out and 0 questionable, a simple snapshot of rotation risk.

The last-five totals marks, 2-3-0 and 4-1-0, are more description than prediction, but they do hint at tempo. If you are tracking the board later, The Grueling Truth NBA odds page is the reference point.

The matchup tips at 2:30 pm US/Central from Frost Bank Center, with FDSSW on the broadcast. If you are watching for context, check how quickly each team finds its pace in the first quarter.



Latest Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs Odds – Moneylines, Spreads & Over/Unders

San Antonio Spurs are laying 6.5 on their own floor at Frost Bank Center. If Charlotte Hornets can keep the pace under control, the points can matter late. The total comes in at a mid-range total of 230.5. The total has fallen 2.5 from the opener, a move that can point toward an Under look.

Money Line +165 BetMGM -190 Fanatics
Spread -4.5 -105 DraftKings 4.5 -110 Fanatics
Over/Under -110 DraftKings -110 DraftKings

Note: The odds table above updates dynamically. The written odds breakdown reflects the numbers at the moment it was generated, so the table and text can be different if the market moves.

Our Against the Spread Choice is San Antonio Spurs

We like San Antonio Spurs ATS. Over the last five games, Charlotte Hornets sit at 20% while San Antonio Spurs sit at 60%, which works out to about a 40% difference in cover frequency. With the current spread that means lay the points.

ATS stat Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs
Season ATS record (W-L-P) 40-26-1 36-28-2
Season ATS 60% 60%
Last 5 ATS record 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 5 ATS 20% 60%
Head-to-head ATS record 1-0-0 0-1-0
Head-to-head ATS 100% 0%

Our Over/Under Choice is Under

Slight lean to Under at 230.5. The combined read is the simple hook: 40% Over on the season and 60% Over in the last five. One window is far enough from even to justify the call.

Over/Under stat Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs
Season Over/Under record 26-41 28-38
Season Over 40% 40%
Last 5 Over/Under record 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 5 Over 40% 80%
Head-to-head Over/Under record 0-1-0 0-1-0
Head-to-head Over 0% 0%

NBA Head-To-Head History: Key Stats

With 2 meetings thus far between Hornets and Spurs, the season history shapes the read the read for this spot. Spurs has picked up all 2 meetings between them this season, and the question is whether they can make it 3 in a row in the series. Last time out, it ended 124-120 with Hornets on top by 4, leaving a bit of space in the final. A clean season-set sweep so far keeps the focus on whether Spurs can do it one more time.

Meetings This Season 2
Last Meeting Score 124-120
Last Meeting Winner Hornets
Last Meeting Margin 4
Hornets Vs Spurs Record 0 – 2
Hornets Vs Spurs Total Points 238 – 238

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs: Recent Form & Momentum

Records tell you what happened, but points for and points against show how it has been happening. Scoring output has been about even between the two teams in the last 10. San Antonio Spurs have been allowing more points per game in that same span. When you combine points scored and points allowed, Charlotte Hornets have had the better net points per game in the last 10. That is the cleanest explanation for who has played better over the last 10. Net points per game is calculated as points per game minus points allowed per game.

Recent form (Last 10) Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs
Record 8-2 8-2
Win rate 80% 80%
Points per game 117.6 120.8
Points allowed per game 104.1 111.5
Net points per game +13.5 +9.3
Point differential (Last 10 total) +135 +93
Field goal % 46.1% 48.7%
3PT % 41.6% 41%

Momentum is often less about the headline record and more about how comfortable the minutes have looked. Charlotte Hornets have played to +19 on average, and San Antonio Spurs are at +48. San Antonio Spurs have won about 33% more often than Charlotte Hornets in the last five.

Momentum form (Last 5) Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs
Wins (Last 5) 3 4
Losses (Last 5) 2 1
Win rate (Last 5) 60% 80%
Average margin (Last 5) +19 +48

Injury List Charlotte Hornets & San Antonio Spurs

Charlotte Hornets has the cleaner injury setup entering this matchup, and that usually makes the rotation easier to trust from the opening tip. San Antonio Spurs carries more availability questions, which can change how the bench is used and how the minutes are spread out.

The broader schedule spot leans slightly toward Charlotte Hornets, with the recent rest, travel, or workload profile setting up better on that side. If San Antonio Spurs is carrying the tougher short-term burden, that can matter most as the game moves into the second half.

Hornets
Spurs
Mason Plumlee
– Conditioning
Pat Connaughton
– Calf
Collin Sexton
– Thigh
Miles Bridges
– Ankle
Grant Williams
– Knee
LaMelo Ball
– Wrist
Josh Green
– Shoulder
Tre Mann
– Illness
Moussa Diabaté
– Hamstring & Toe
Brandon Miller
– Injury Management
Tidjane Salaün
– Achilles
KJ Simpson
– Hip
Kon Knueppel
– Ankle
Liam McNeeley
– Ankle
Ryan Kalkbrenner
– Wrist
Sion James
– Illness
Harrison Barnes
– Ankle
Kelly Olynyk
– Foot
De’Aaron Fox
– Adductor
Luke Kornet
– Shoulder
Jordan McLaughlin
– Hamstring
Devin Vassell
– Adductor
Lindy Waters III
– Knee
Jeremy Sochan
– Illness
Julian Champagnie
– Eye
Victor Wembanyama
– Calf
Stephon Castle
– Illness
David Jones-Garcia
– Ankle
Dylan Harper
– Ankle
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