Charlotte Hornets (34-33) meet Sacramento Kings (16-51) on 11 March with enough moving parts to reward a closer look. When the scorelines widen, it usually points to second-quarter control and late-game discipline.
With both teams living in a similar recent window, the edge often comes from the small things that repeat every quarter. For spread/total updates later, use
TGT NBA lines.
At Golden 1 Center, the scheduled start is 7:00 pm US/Pacific and FDSSE is the TV listing. That is usually where defensive attention and rebounding show up immediately.
Latest Charlotte Hornets at Sacramento Kings Odds – Moneylines, Spreads & Over/Unders
Charlotte Hornets show up as 14.5-point listed favourites at Golden 1 Center. If the underdog is going to hang around, look for efficient half-court trips early. The total arrives at a average total of 224.5. The total has ticked up 4 from the opener, which can signal a slightly faster scoring expectation.
Money Line-820+600
Spread
13.5
-108
-13.5
-108
Over/Under
-105
-115
Note: The odds table above updates dynamically. The written odds breakdown reflects the numbers at the moment it was generated, so the table and text can be different if the market moves.
Our Against the Spread Choice is Charlotte Hornets
We shade to Charlotte Hornets ATS. Over the full season, Charlotte Hornets sit at 60% while Sacramento Kings sit at 40%, which works out to about a 20% difference in cover frequency. With the current spread that means lay the points.
ATS stat
Charlotte Hornets
Sacramento Kings
Season ATS record (W-L-P)
40-25-1
26-40-0
Season ATS
60%
40%
Last 5 ATS record
2-3-0
2-3-0
Last 5 ATS
40%
40%
Head-to-head ATS record
0-0-0
0-0-0
Head-to-head ATS
–
–
Our Over/Under Choice is Under
We are on the Under at 224.5. Over the last five games, games have landed Under about 80%. The other window points the same way too.
Over/Under stat
Charlotte Hornets
Sacramento Kings
Season Over/Under record
25-41
32-34
Season Over
40%
50%
Last 5 Over/Under record
1-4-0
1-4-0
Last 5 Over
20%
20%
Head-to-head Over/Under record
0-0-0
0-0-0
Head-to-head Over
–
–
NBA Head-To-Head History: Key Stats
In this season series, a single meeting is on the board for Hornets vs Kings, and it finished with Hornets on top with 111-104.
Meetings This Season
1
Last Meeting Score
111-104
Last Meeting Winner
Hornets
Last Meeting Margin
7
Hornets Vs Kings Record
1 – 0
Hornets Vs Kings Total Points
221.4 – 221.4
Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings: Recent Form & Momentum
Over the last 10, form is easiest to explain with two questions: who scores a bit cleaner and who gives away less. Scoring output has been about even between the two teams in the last 10. Sacramento Kings have been allowing more points per game in that same span. Charlotte Hornets have won about 75% more often than Sacramento Kings across the last 10. That is the best single summary of the recent edge. Net points per game equals points per game minus points allowed per game.
Recent form (Last 10)
Charlotte Hornets
Sacramento Kings
Record
7-3
4-6
Win rate
70%
40%
Points per game
117.2
113.6
Points allowed per game
105
122.7
Net points per game
+12.2
-9.1
Point differential (Last 10 total)
+122
-91
Field goal %
45.4%
46.2%
3PT %
40.5%
29%
In a short window, wins matter, but how a team is winning matters too. Charlotte Hornets have 3 wins in the last five and Sacramento Kings have 2. Charlotte Hornets have won about 50% more often than Sacramento Kings in the last five.
Momentum form (Last 5)
Charlotte Hornets
Sacramento Kings
Wins (Last 5)
3
2
Losses (Last 5)
2
3
Win rate (Last 5)
60%
40%
Average margin (Last 5)
+38
-24
Injury List Charlotte Hornets & Sacramento Kings
Charlotte Hornets has the cleaner injury setup entering this matchup, and that usually makes the rotation easier to trust from the opening tip. Sacramento Kings carries more availability questions, which can change how the bench is used and how the minutes are spread out.
The spot also looks a little cleaner for Sacramento Kings, whether that edge comes from rest, workload, or travel. If Charlotte Hornets is the team dealing with the tighter turnaround, heavier mileage, or busier recent stretch, that can show up in pace, legs, and late-game execution.
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