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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / March Madness Round of 64: Two Competitive Games in the South Region Oregon-Wisconsin,Okl-OLE Miss

March Madness Round of 64: Two Competitive Games in the South Region Oregon-Wisconsin,Okl-OLE Miss

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Publish Date: 03/22/2019
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

March Madness is underway and we have two games with great potential coming out of the South region on Friday. This is the most exciting time of the year in American sports. People are scrambling to complete their brackets, get their picks made in their office pools, and of hitting the best online sportsbooks to make a little chedda’.

No. 12 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 5 Wisconsin Badgers -2

 

The Badgers have the pedigree, but the Ducks are red hot.

It wasn’t long ago that pundits were thinking that only one team out of the Pac-12 might get a berth into the Big Dance. But Oregon rolled its opponents at the end of the regular season, smashing the last four teams they played by an average margin of 18.3 points per game. Much like Duck Football, the hallmark of Oregon basketball is offense. But something has happened recently and they decided to really buckle down on defense. Throughout their eight-game win streak, Ducks opponents are giving up 15 turnovers on average.

The Badgers are no pushovers. Like we stated above; they have the basketball pedigree and they recently proved their strength by absolutely smashing the Michigan State Spartans.

Stats

When we look at the seasonal numbers, these two teams match up quite well. The Badgers defense allows just 61.42 points, but the Ducks are averaging 62.94. But over the last eight games … since Oregon has decided to be a defensive team, the Ducks have only allowed 54.25 per game.

Offensively, the Ducks have a point-and-a-half advantage, putting up 70.50 per game against the Badgers 69. Oregon is going to have to watch out because Wisconsin is slightly better from beyond the arc and field goal percentage in general. But in what could turn out to be a tight game like this, it is smart to go with the better free throw shooting team. Wisconsin just isn’t that good on the line at 64.86%. The Ducks put the ball through the hole 71.86% of the time from the foul line, which could be the difference of a couple of points.

 

Head to Head
These teams have only met twice in recent history, and the last time was back in March of 2015. In the two times they have played, the Badgers got the better of the Ducks by an average margin of 7.5 points.

That said, these were different teams and the Ducks were definitely soft on D. Now with this extra defensive spark, I expect Oregon to give Wisconsin a bite fried duck that might be too big to chew. A defense that is allowing less than 55 points a game and better free throw shooting … all take the underdogs in this one.

Watch as the No. 12 team upsets the No. 5.

No. 8 Ole Miss Rebels -1 vs. No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners

This is going to be a great game. One that either team can win. The difference-maker will be whether or not the Rebels defense can keep up for all four quarters. Ole Miss opened up as -1.5 favorites, but the Sooners are getting some love and the number has been pushed a half-point down to just -1.

When we look at the numbers, the Rebels have a 75 to 71 advantage in average score. But the Sooners have a defensive advantage of 68 to 70. So, all in all, it’s a two-point average score margin in favor of Ole Miss.

Oklahoma holds defensive advantages across the board, FG% Three-Point% Free-Throw%. So this is where we’ll see Ole Miss have to tighten up if they want to win.

No betting prediction on this one as it could easily swing either way. But if there is any game on Friday that will be a must-tune-in nail-biter, it’s this one. So don’t miss it.

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