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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Baseball News / Series Preview: Giants at Rockies

Series Preview: Giants at Rockies

Rockies-Giants Preview!
Publish Date: 07/02/2018
Fact checked by: Mike Goodpaster

Although the Rockies dropped the final game of their series with the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, they were able to win the series two games out of three.  This series concluded a six game road trip in which the Rockies won 3 games and lost 3 games.  The Rockies will now return home for a three game series against the San Francisco Giants.

Game 1 | Giants @ Rockies | 6:40 MT | July 2, 2018

Madison Bumgarner is scheduled to start for the Giants while Kyle Freeland is scheduled to start for the Rockies

Madison Bumgarner

In five starts this season, Bumgarner owns a 1-2 record with a 2.51 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP.  Through 32.1 innings pitched, he has 25 strikeouts compared to 9 walks for SO/W ratio of 2.79.

Although Bumgarner is just getting his season started, his career SO/W ratio is 4.29 and last season he was at 5.05.  However, he seems to have gotten back on track after he struck out 8 batters while only walking 2 in each of his last two starts.

Those last two starts were an 8 inning effort with 0 runs allowed against the Padres and a 7 inning effort with 0 runs allowed against the Rockies.

On June 27th in San Francisco, Bumgarner and Freeland were locked into a great pitchers duel.  The game ended up ending with a walk-off HR by Brandon Crawford in the bottom of the 9th inning.

Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez have very good career numbers against the Giants southpaw.  Blackmon owns a .318 career OBP against Bumgarner while Gonzalez owns a .364 OBP.  They were also the only two Rockies to record a hit off of him in that June 27th game.  Look out for these two lefties against Bumgarner in this game.

This season, Bumgarner features a 90.5 mph fastball, an 85.0 mph slider, a 76.3 mph curveball, and an 82.6 mph changeup.  He throws his fastball 37.1% of the time, his slider 32.7% of the time, his curveball 16.6% of the time, and his changeup 13.5% of the time.

Kyle Freeland

In sixteen starts this season, Freeland owns a 7-6 record with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.  He has 81 strikeouts compared to only 32 walks for a SO/W ratio of 2.53.  This is up from his 1.70 SO/W ratio last season.

Hunter Pence owns a career .545 OBP in 11 plate appearances against Freeland.  Gorkys Hernandezowns a .476 OBP with 1 HR and 4 RBI through 21 plate appearances.  Look out for these two batters against Freeland in this game.

This season, Freeland features a 91.2 mph fastball, an 85.1 mph cutter, an 85.8 mph changeup, and a 79.8 mph slider.  He throws his fastball 52.2% of the time, his cutter 28.0% of the time, his changeup 85.8% of the time, and his slider 6.9% of the time.  Last season, Freeland used his fastball around 11.7% more of the time.  This season, he’s distributed that 11.7% fairly evenly to each of his other pitches.

Game 2 | Giants @ Rockies | 6:10 MT | July 3, 2018

Chris Stratton is scheduled to start for the Giants while Antonio Senzatela is scheduled to start for the Rockies

Chris Stratton

In seventeen starts, Stratton is 8-5 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.  He has 70 strikeouts and 35 walks for a 2.00 SO/W ratio.

Nolan Arenado and Blackmon have the most career plate appearances against Stratton compared to their teammates.  Through 9 plate appearances, they both own a .444 OBP and they both have a HR against Stratton.

Stratton last pitched against the Rockies on June 28th of this year. He went 4.0 innings pitched while allowing 5 earned runs on 8 hits and 1 walk.  This was the now famous DJ LeMahieu 9th inning comeback HR day game where all of Denver upset their places of business by cheering out loud at work.

This season, Stratton features a 91.0 mph fastball, an 83.1 mph slider, a 77.4 mph curveball, and an 83.7 mph changeup.  He throws his fastball 64.3% of the time, his slider 11.0% of the time, his curveball 15.7% of the time, and his changeup 9.1% of the time.

Antonio Senzatela

Up to this game, the Rockies had only needed five different starting pitchers on the season.  However, after sending Jon Gray down to AAA, Senzatela will be recalled to fill in and become the sixth different starter for the Rockies.

Although Senzatela has struggled out of the bullpen at the MLB level this season, he pitched much better as a starter in AAA.

In ten games out of the bullpen at the MLB level, he owns a 6.23 ERA with a 1.67 WHIP.  In eight starts at the AAA level, he owns a 2.15 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP.  His SO/W ratio out of the bullpen was only 2.33 while his ratio as a starter was 3.50.

Brandon Belt and Joe Panik both have 10 career plate appearance against Senzatela.  They both own a .400 OBP in those appearances.  Belt owns 2 doubles and 1 walk while Panik owns 1 double, 2 HR’s, and 2 RBI.

Although Jeff Samardzija is currently on the 10-day DL with right shoulder tightness, he is actually the only other Giants player with a HR in his career against Senzatela.

This season, Senzatela averages 94.4 mph on his fastball, 83.7 mph on his slider, 78.4 mph on his curveball, and 87.0 mph on his changeup.  Senzatela throws his fastball 68.6% of the time and his slider 27.0% of the time.  His curveball is only used 4.1% of the time and his changeup is only used 0.3% of the time.  Even though these numbers come out of relief in the major leagues this season, his pitch type percentages as a starter last were fairly similar.

Game 3 | Giants @ Rockies | 6:10 MT | July 4, 2018

Andrew Suarez is scheduled to start for the Giants while Tyler Anderson is scheduled to start for the Rockies

Andrew Suarez

The rookie starter is 3-4 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in his first thirteen career starts.  He holds a 4.40 SO/W ratio with 66 strikeouts and 15 walks in 71.0 innings pitched.

Even though he’s in his rookie season, he has already started a game against the Rockies at Coors Field.  On May 28th, he pitched 5.0 innings allowing 4 runs on 5 hits and 1 walk.  Trevor Story was 1-3 off of Suarez in that game with a HR and 3 RBI.

Suarez throws his fastball 48.6% of the time and his slider 28.7% of the time.  His curveball and changeup combine for the other 22.7% of his pitches.  Suarez averages 92.3 mph on his fastball, 89.0 mph on his slider, 77.8 mph on his curveball, and 86.1 mph on his changeup.

Tyler Anderson

Anderson is 5-3 on the season with a 4.23 ERA in seventeen starts on the season.  The Rockies 1st round draft pick in 2011 owns a 1.28 WHIP and a 2.74 SO/W ratio this season.  Through 93.2 innings pitched, he has 85 strikeouts and 31 walks.

The numbers do not reflect the stellar performance in his most recent start against the Dodgers.  In that game, he went 8 innings pitched, with 0 runs allowed.  His last start against the Giants was back on May 20th in San Francisco.  He went 5.1 innings pitched with 5 runs allowed on 6 hits and 1 walk.  The Rockies lost the game 9-5.

Brandon Crawford owns a .400 OBP in 10 plate appearance against Anderson and he also has a HR.  Hernandez owns a .500 OBP in 6 plate appearances and also has a HR against the southpaw.

This season, Anderson features a fastball 46.9% of the time, a cutter 26.1% of the time, a curveball 3.5% of the time, and a changeup 23.5% of the time.  Anderson has averaged 91.7 mph with his fastball, 87.3 mph with his cutter, 74.7 mph with his curveball, and 81.0 mph with his changeup.


NL West Standings

Arizona Diamondbacks | 47-37 | –

Los Angeles Dodgers | 44-39 | 2.5 GB

San Francisco Giants | 45-40 | 2.5 GB

Colorado Rockies | 41-43 | 6.0 GB

San Diego Padres | 37-49 | 11.0 GB

The Diamondbacks have lost three games in a row, so the Rockies were able to pick up two games in the division following their series with the Dodgers.  The Giants swept the Dbacks over the weekend to gain three games in the division.  The Giants are also 8-2 over their last 10 games while the Rockies are 5-5.

If the Rockies can fix their woes at home, winning the division is a possibility.  The Rockies are currently only 15-22 at home compared to their road record of 26-21.

At this point last season, the Rockies were 22-15 at home and 26-20 on the road.  The losses at home have been the difference in matching their run to the playoffs last season.


Do you think the Rockies will be able to win this home series?

Leave a comment or tweet us @RockiesRedux

As always, thank you very much for reading Rockies Redux!

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