On Monday, two fifth-place National League teams will face off. The Cincinnati Reds (53-58, fifth in NL Central) take on Miami Marlins (42-70, fifth NL East) for a four-game set, the Reds lost two of three at home to the Giants while the Marlins split four games with the Braves in Atlanta; both sides met mid-July; Cincinnati took two of three matches at home.
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 07/31/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet Reds ML
Two teams that share fifth place in their divisions may appear similar, yet those similarities quickly dissipate: Miami parted ways with three essential bats at the trade deadline while Cincinnati kept all of their stars. Cincinnati could have secured an incredible haul in exchange for Elly De La Cruz, yet chose to keep their young star instead. Now they are only 6.5 games out from clinching one of three wild card spots, while the Marlins are 18 back. Cincinnati defeated Miami earlier in 2024, when the Marlins roster was much more potent. However, Miami relies heavily on unproven players like young prospects or veterans who are unable to secure starting roster spots. Meanwhile, Cincinnati did not name their starting pitcher, yet their bullpen still ranks 11th for team ERA while Miami ranks 25th – showing Cincinnati has an advantage and should take game one of this series with ease.
Take the Reds to win.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Reds ML
Reds playing better
Reds offensively better
Reds bullpen advantage
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Reds vs Marlins Moneyline
The moneyline value favors the Marlins, but the Marlins won’t win this game. I would lean toward the Reds, and the money line value is not great there, so I would consider giving the -1.5. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Reds ML
Reds are playing better
Reds the better team
pitching favors the Reds
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Reds vs Marlins Over/Under Analysis
The over/under in this game is 8. This is an over bet; the pitching in this game will not be good.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the over 8
Odds high scoring game for the Reds
Marlois bats dead
Reds should win
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Reds vs Marlins Head-to-Head
The Reds took two out of the three games played at home between these two teams a couple of months ago.
Conclusion
This will be a game where I think the Reds jump out early and then have to depend on their bullpen. Reds win this one 6-3.
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